Tommy Paul v Zizou Bergs
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidWONT. Paul is 7-3 over the last ten and 27-14 on hard this season. Z. Bergs is 7-3 over the last ten and 13-13 on hard this season. Z. Bergs took a medical timeout on 2026-10-01. The head to head is T. Paul 1-0.
The pick is T. Paul to win. We make it a 72% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.40 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| T. Paul | Z. Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Ranking | 38 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WWLLW | Last 5 | WWWLL |
| +0.9 | V the odds | +1.2 |
| 42-19 | Season | 28-24 |
| 27-14 | Hard 2026 | 13-13 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 2 | Wins here | 3 |
| Clear | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Shanghai | T. PaulvZ. Bergs | 2 - 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | ATP Indian Wells | Z. BergsvT. Paul | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
T. Paul — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Shanghai | Hard | Z. Bergs | 2 - 0 | 1.48 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | V. Vacherot | 2 - 0 | 1.61 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | D. Vallejo | 2 - 0 | 1.49 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | A. Tabilo | 2 - 0 | 1.35 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-09-06 | US Open | Hard | C. Alcaraz | 0 - 3 | 4.85 | 80% | LOST |
| 2026-09-04 | US Open | Hard | A. Bublik | 2 - 3 | 1.55 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | D. Prizmic | 1 - 3 | 1.21 | 81% | WON |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | C. Wong | 1 - 3 | 1.17 | 83% | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Cobolli | 1 - 2 | 1.66 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Zverev | 1 - 2 | 3.36 | 71% | WON |
Z. Bergs — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Shanghai | Hard | T. Paul | 2 - 0 | 2.87 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | C. Alcaraz | 2 - 0 | 10.69 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | I. Buse | 0 - 2 | 1.54 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | V. Kopriva | 0 - 2 | 1.39 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | J. Lehecka | 2 - 1 | 3.31 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | J. Rodionov | 2 - 0 | 1.56 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | L. Neumayer | 1 - 2 | 1.40 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 3 | 2.67 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open | Hard | J. De Jong | 3 - 1 | 1.39 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | C. Taberner | 3 - 1 | 1.05 | 92% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Tommy Paul or Zizou Bergs?
Tommy Paul is favourite at 1.48, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs?
Tommy Paul is 1.48 and Zizou Bergs is 2.87, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Tommy Paul and Zizou Bergs?
They have met 2 times and Tommy Paul leads 2-0.
Who will win Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs?
Our model makes it Tommy Paul to win at 1.47 (Solid confidence).