Arthur Gea v Jakub Mensik
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongWONA. Gea is 8-2 over the last ten and 31-8 on hard this season. J. Mensik is 6-4 over the last ten and 28-14 on hard this season.
The pick is A. Gea to win. We make it a 47% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.13 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Gea | J. Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| 58 | Ranking | 14 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WWWLW | Last 5 | WWLWL |
| +2.5 | V the odds | -0.3 |
| 48-18 | Season | 37-20 |
| 31-8 | Hard 2026 | 28-14 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 3 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Shanghai | A. GeavJ. Mensik | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Gea — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | 0 - 0 RET | 1.98 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-10-14 | Shanghai | Hard | J. Mensik | 2 - 0 | 2.48 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | B. Shelton | 0 - 2 | 3.44 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | U. Humbert | 2 - 1 | 1.85 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | J. Faria | 2 - 1 | 1.56 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | H. Hurkacz | 2 - 1 | 2.28 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | Z. Zhang | 0 - 2 | 1.29 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Beijing | Hard | T. Machac | 0 - 2 | 1.62 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Beijing | Hard | R. Te | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 3 | 2.40 | 59% | LOST |
J. Mensik — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Gea | 2 - 0 | 1.60 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | F. Cerundolo | 1 - 2 | 1.65 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | M. Kecmanovic | 0 - 2 | 1.30 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-10-03 | Beijing | Hard | F. Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | 1.52 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | A. Bublik | 0 - 2 | 1.57 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | B. Nakashima | 1 - 2 | 1.68 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | B. Shelton | 2 - 1 | 2.24 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | L. Tien | 0 - 2 | 1.62 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-06 | US Open | Hard | L. Tien | 2 - 3 | 2.26 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | J. Rodionov | 3 - 1 | 1.13 | 86% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Arthur Gea or Jakub Mensik?
Jakub Mensik is favourite at 1.60, which is a 61% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik?
Arthur Gea is 2.48 and Jakub Mensik is 1.60, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Arthur Gea and Jakub Mensik?
They have met 1 time and Arthur Gea leads 1-0.
Who will win Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik?
Our model makes it Arthur Gea to win at 2.45 (Strong confidence).