Casper Ruud v Felix Auger-Aliassime
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidVOIDF. Auger-Aliassime is 7-3 over the last ten and 20-9 on hard this season. C. Ruud is 6-4 over the last ten and 16-12 on hard this season. C. Ruud took a medical timeout on 2026-10-01. The head to head is C. Ruud 2-4.
The pick is F. Auger-Aliassime to win. We make it a 62% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.61 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| C. Ruud | F. Auger-Aliassime | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Ranking | 5 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WWLWW | Last 5 | WWLWW |
| -0.6 | V the odds | -0.3 |
| 32-19 | Season | 40-17 |
| 16-12 | Hard 2026 | 20-9 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 2 | Wins here | 2 |
| MTO | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-4 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | UTS Championship | F. Auger-AliassimevC. Ruud | 3 - 2 |
| 2024-08-16 | ATP Cincinnati | C. RuudvF. Auger-Aliassime | 0 - 2 |
| 2024-08-01 | Olympic Games | C. RuudvF. Auger-Aliassime | 1 - 2 |
| 2024-04-30 | ATP Madrid | F. Auger-AliassimevC. Ruud | 2 - 0 |
| 2022-11-13 | Finals - Turin | C. RuudvF. Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 0 |
| 2022-08-12 | Montreal | C. RuudvF. Auger-Aliassime | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
C. Ruud — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Shanghai | Hard | F. Auger-Aliassime | 0 - 0 RET | 2.27 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | L. Tien | 0 - 2 | 2.37 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | Y. Bu | 0 - 2 | 2.01 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | L. Darderi | 2 - 0 | 1.46 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | F. Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | 1.85 | 52% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | F. Nidunjianzan | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | R. Te | 2 - 0 | 1.01 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | C. O'Connell | 1 - 0 RET | 1.32 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-08-08 | Montreal | Hard | J. Fonseca | 0 - 2 | 2.27 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-08-05 | Montreal | Hard | J. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | 1.39 | 70% | WON |
F. Auger-Aliassime — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Shanghai | Hard | C. Ruud | 0 - 0 RET | 1.71 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | P. Carreno-Busta | 1 - 2 | 1.31 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | C. Ugo Carabelli | 1 - 2 | 1.08 | 89% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | K. Khachanov | 2 - 0 | 1.65 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | Q. Halys | 2 - 1 | 1.23 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group | - Play Offs | A. Rinderknech | 2 - 1 | 1.32 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | K. Khachanov | 1 - 3 | 1.38 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | R. Hijikata | 3 - 1 | 1.10 | 88% | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | Cincinnati | Hard | F. Tiafoe | 2 - 0 | 1.48 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Cincinnati | Hard | J. M. Cerundolo | 0 - 2 | 1.21 | 81% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Casper Ruud or Felix Auger-Aliassime?
Felix Auger-Aliassime is favourite at 1.71, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime?
Casper Ruud is 2.27 and Felix Auger-Aliassime is 1.71, the prices we recorded for the Shanghai match.
What is the head-to-head between Casper Ruud and Felix Auger-Aliassime?
They have met 6 times and Felix Auger-Aliassime leads 4-2.
Who will win Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime?
Our model makes it Felix Auger-Aliassime to win at 1.71 (Solid confidence).