THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 12 OCTOBERMATCHES 194EVENTS 13LIVE 4ALERTS 63
ChallengerClayCatania (Italy) - Qualification2026-10-11 10:00

Tilen Kovac v Svyatoslav Gulin

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
S. Gulin to win1.01
Price too short today - wait for 1.06 or bigger · our chance 95% · market 4/96, us 5/95

S. Gulin is 5-5 over the last ten. T. Kovac is 0-3 over the last ten. S. Gulin took a medical timeout on 2026-09-28. S. Gulin retired from a match in the last month.

The pick is S. Gulin to win. We make it a 95% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.06 or bigger. At 1.01 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

T. KovacS. Gulin
-Ranking-
0-3Last 105-5
LLLLast 5LWLWL
-0.4V the odds+0.3
0-3Season33-22
-Surface-
0Last 7 days0
53dDays rest13d
0Wins here0
53d outFitnessMTOretired
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

T. Kovac24.314%
S. GulinFAV1.0196%
Market says96% Gulin

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

T. Kovac0
S. Gulin1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-11Catania (Italy) - QualificationT. KovacvS. Gulin0 - 2

This season & this event

T. Kovac
S. Gulin
0-4
0-4
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
35-22
26-14
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Tilen Kovac
Slovenia
Svyatoslav Gulin
World
1586
24
Slovenia
3–7
0
—
3–7
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
421
23
World
45–19
4
—
45–19
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

T. Kovac — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11Catania (Italy) - QualificationClayS. Gulin0 - 224.3196%LOST
2026-08-19M25 Slovenj Gradec (Slovenia)ClayS. Dominko2 - 013.0093%LOST
2026-07-01M15 StoreClayD. Tazabekov2 - 13.3371%LOST
2026-05-19M15 LitijaClayG. Bosio0 - 220.6995%LOST

S. Gulin — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12Catania (Italy) - QualificationClayP. Rodenas0 - 21.6159%WON
2026-10-11Catania (Italy) - QualificationClayT. Kovac0 - 21.0196%WON
2026-09-28Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayF. Arnaboldi1 - 0 RET——LOST
2026-09-27Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayL. C. Alvarez Valdes0 - 2——WON
2026-09-21Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayP. Lagutin1 - 0 RET2.6664%LOST
2026-09-20Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayR. Tabata0 - 21.1681%WON
2026-09-08TullnClayL. Neumayer0 - 23.2570%LOST
2026-09-07TullnClayA. Martin0 - 21.6957%WON
2026-09-06TullnClayR. Molleker2 - 01.9952%WON
2026-08-31ComoClayN. Gombos2 - 02.1056%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Tilen Kovac or Svyatoslav Gulin?

Svyatoslav Gulin is favourite at 1.01, which is a 96% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Tilen Kovac vs Svyatoslav Gulin?

Tilen Kovac is 24.31 and Svyatoslav Gulin is 1.01, the prices we recorded for the Catania (Italy) match.

What is the head-to-head between Tilen Kovac and Svyatoslav Gulin?

They have met 1 time and Svyatoslav Gulin leads 1-0.

Who will win Tilen Kovac vs Svyatoslav Gulin?

Our model makes it Svyatoslav Gulin to win at 1.01 (Lean confidence).

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