ChallengerChallenger2026-10-14 → 2026-10-16
Catania 2026
32 players, 12 singles matches on our card · 12 qualifying matches. Title chances, the field, who is in form and who is carrying something - with a preview of every match.
Title chances
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price | Market | Edge | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. M. Papoe | 23.0% | 4.3 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Moeller 6 | 20.2% | 5.0 | — | — | — | — |
| F. Gill 4 | 17.5% | 5.7 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Giunta Alt | 13.8% | 7.2 | — | — | — | — |
| G. Cadenasso 3 | 9.4% | 10.7 | — | — | — | — |
| B. Gadamauri 7 | 6.2% | 16.2 | — | — | — | — |
| M. Wiskandt Alt | 5.8% | 17.2 | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Kolar 2 | 4.2% | 23.9 | — | — | — | — |
From the published draw and our ratings, worked out exactly round by round rather than simulated. The fair price is ours, before any margin. No outright prices recorded for this event yet.
Conditions
Medium. Servers win 60% of points here (-0.5 points against the level average); 14% of sets reach a tiebreak; 9.7 games a set. Measured from 46 matches played here, not a surface label.
Players to watch
In form
I. Almazan Valiente8-3 · +2.3
M. Moeller8-3 · +1.8
M. Giunta5-3 · +1.4
P. Lagutin8-3 · +1.1
F. Gill7-2 · +1.0
Wins above what the prices expected, last 35 days
Carrying something
G. Cadenasso
RET x1 in 90dMTO 14d
S. Gulin
RET x2 in 90d
E. Dalla Valle
RET x1 in 90dMTO 14d
F. Bondioli
RET x1 in last 3
S. Cuenin
RET x2 in last 3MTO 14d
F. C. Jianu
RET x3 in 90d
Retirements, walkovers, medical timeouts and long layoffs
Matches to come
| When | Match | Price | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 10:00 | M. WiskandtvM. Giunta | 2.75 | 1.49 |
| 10-16 17:00 | G. CadenassovM. Moeller | 2.04 | 1.84 |
Results so far
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 | R. M. PapoevZ. Kolar | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-16 | B. GadamaurivF. Gill | 1 - 2 | |
| 10-15 | C. A. CaniatovM. Moeller | 1 - 2 | |
| 10-15 | P. Vives MarcosvM. Wiskandt | 1 - 2 | |
| 10-15 | G. CadenassovS. Gulin | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-14 | B. GadamaurivE. Dalla Valle | 2 - 1 | |
| 10-14 | R. M. PapoevL. Potenza | 2 - 0 | |
| 10-14 | F. C. JianuvZ. Kolar | 0 - 2 | |
| 10-14 | P. LagutinvM. Giunta | 0 - 2 | |
| 10-14 | I. Almazan ValientevF. Gill | 0 - 2 |