Maximus Jones v Sebastian Gima
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONS. Gima is 8-2 over the last ten. M. Jones is 4-6 over the last ten. S. Gima took a medical timeout on 2026-10-08.
The pick is S. Gima to win. We make it a 65% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.55 or bigger. At 1.47 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Jones | S. Gima | |
|---|---|---|
| 463 | Ranking | - |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 8-2 |
| LLLWL | Last 5 | LWWWW |
| -0.0 | V the odds | +1.6 |
| 18-22 | Season | 37-28 |
| - | Surface | - |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 22d | Days rest | 3d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| 22d out | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | M. JonesvS. Gima | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Jones — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | S. Gima | 1 - 2 | 2.66 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | T. Skatov | 2 - 1 | 2.75 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | A. Shevchenko | 2 - 1 | 4.90 | 81% | LOST |
| 2026-09-09 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | H. Moriya | 0 - 2 | 1.74 | 55% | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | F. Bax | 1 - 2 | 2.06 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-09-02 | Mallorca | Hard | I. Ivanov | 2 - 0 | 1.83 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Mallorca | Hard | O. Paldanius | 2 - 0 | 2.34 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | Mallorca | Hard | A. Gray | 0 - 2 | 3.68 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-07-14 | Pozoblanco | Hard | I. Ivashka | 0 - 1 RET | 3.62 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-07-04 | M15 Tokyo 3 (Japan) | Hard | M. Dellavedova | 2 - 0 | 2.62 | 64% | LOST |
S. Gima — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | P. Vives Marcos | 0 - 2 | 3.19 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-10-11 | Catania (Italy) - Qualification | Clay | M. Jones | 1 - 2 | 1.47 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-10-08 | M15 Burgas (Bulgaria) | Clay | I. Miletich | 1 - 2 | 1.31 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-10-07 | M15 Burgas (Bulgaria) | Clay | T. Rosenkranz-Konig | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | M25 Slobozia (Romania) | Clay | G. A. Boitan | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-10-03 | M25 Slobozia (Romania) | Clay | R. D. Turcanu | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | M25 Slobozia (Romania) | Clay | J. Opitz | 2 - 1 | 1.47 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-10-01 | M25 Slobozia (Romania) | Clay | Pe. Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 | 1.31 | 73% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | M25 Slobozia (Romania) | Clay | S. Dominko | 0 - 2 | 3.65 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | J. Forejtek | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Maximus Jones or Sebastian Gima?
Sebastian Gima is favourite at 1.47, which is a 64% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Maximus Jones vs Sebastian Gima?
Maximus Jones is 2.66 and Sebastian Gima is 1.47, the prices we recorded for the Catania (Italy) match.
What is the head-to-head between Maximus Jones and Sebastian Gima?
They have met 1 time and Sebastian Gima leads 1-0.
Who will win Maximus Jones vs Sebastian Gima?
Our model makes it Sebastian Gima to win at 1.47 (Lean confidence).