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ChallengerClayCatania (Italy) - Qualification2026-10-11 10:00

Pavel Lagutin v Ignacio Parisca

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
P. Lagutin to win 2-01.72
Price too short today - wait for 2.14 or bigger · our chance 47% · market 71/29, us 76/24

P. Lagutin is 7-3 over the last ten. I. Parisca is 5-5 over the last ten. The head to head is P. Lagutin 1-0.

The pick is P. Lagutin to win 2-0. We make it a 47% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.14 or bigger. At 1.72 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

P. LagutinI. Parisca
432Ranking-
7-3Last 105-5
LWWLWLast 5LWLLW
+1.5V the odds-0.5
43-16Season33-22
-Surface-
0Last 7 days2
19dDays rest6d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

P. LagutinFAV1.3471%
I. Parisca3.2429%
Market says71% Lagutin

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

P. Lagutin2
I. Parisca0
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-11Catania (Italy) - QualificationP. LagutinvI. Parisca2 - 0
2026-07-31M15 XativaP. LagutinvI. Parisca2 - 0

This season & this event

P. Lagutin
I. Parisca
45-16
26-9
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
33-23
33-23
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Pavel Lagutin
World
Ignacio Parisca
Venezuela
432
21
World
39–14
3
19–7
20–7
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
858
21
Venezuela
25–28
0
—
23–25
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

P. Lagutin — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12Catania (Italy) - QualificationClayO. Ovcharenko2 - 11.3769%WON
2026-10-11Catania (Italy) - QualificationClayI. Parisca2 - 01.3471%WON
2026-09-22Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayI. Radulov2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-21Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayS. Gulin1 - 0 RET1.4764%WON
2026-09-20Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayR. T. Pieleanu2 - 0——WON
2026-09-16BiellaClayA. Moro Canas2 - 02.1858%LOST
2026-09-15BiellaClayE. Dalla Valle2 - 11.8552%WON
2026-09-14BiellaClayM. Marterer2 - 01.5063%WON
2026-09-13BiellaClayM. Roehrich2 - 0——WON
2026-09-10SevilleClayM. Alcala Gurri1 - 22.8866%LOST

I. Parisca — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-11Catania (Italy) - QualificationClayP. Lagutin2 - 03.2471%LOST
2026-10-05Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayF. Moroni2 - 11.8350%LOST
2026-10-04Palermo (Italy) - QualificationClayG. Ghetu2 - 02.1456%WON
2026-09-27Bari (Italy) - QualificationClayF. Agamenone2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-25M25 Sabadell 2ClayI. Gakhov2 - 02.2058%LOST
2026-09-24M25 Sabadell 2ClayA. Marti Pujolras2 - 12.2959%WON
2026-09-23M25 Sabadell 2ClayC. Maguire2 - 01.0395%WON
2026-09-10M25 GijonClayR. Nijboer2 - 02.7665%LOST
2026-09-09M25 GijonClayA. G. Carbajal0 - 2——WON
2026-09-08M25 GijonClayA. Petrov0 - 21.1881%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Pavel Lagutin or Ignacio Parisca?

Pavel Lagutin is favourite at 1.34, which is a 71% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Pavel Lagutin vs Ignacio Parisca?

Pavel Lagutin is 1.34 and Ignacio Parisca is 3.24, the prices we recorded for the Catania (Italy) match.

What is the head-to-head between Pavel Lagutin and Ignacio Parisca?

They have met 2 times and Pavel Lagutin leads 2-0.

Who will win Pavel Lagutin vs Ignacio Parisca?

Our model makes it Pavel Lagutin to win 2-0 at 1.72 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event