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ChallengerClayAntofagasta2026-10-05 15:00

Thiago Seyboth Wild v Matias Soto

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
T. Seyboth Wild to win 2-01.57
Price too short today - wait for 1.83 or bigger · our chance 55% · market 81/19, us 83/17

T. Seyboth Wild is 8-2 over the last ten and 30-12 on clay this season. M. Soto is 3-7 over the last ten and 23-18 on clay this season.

The pick is T. Seyboth Wild to win 2-0. We make it a 55% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.83 or bigger. At 1.57 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

T. Seyboth WildM. Soto
198Ranking237
8-2Last 103-7
WWWWWLast 5LLLWW
-V the odds-0.4
33-17Season34-21
30-12Clay 202623-18
0Last 7 days1
22dDays rest6d
0Wins here0
22d outFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

T. Seyboth WildFAV1.1881%
M. Soto5.0619%
Market says81% Wild

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

T. Seyboth Wild
M. Soto
34-17
31-12
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
34-22
23-19
Lost R32 to J. Reis Da Silva
Lost R16 to J. M. Cerundolo

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Thiago Seyboth Wild
Brazil
Matias Soto
Chile
136
26
Brazil
33–17
3
2–3
31–14
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
252
27
Chile
34–21
1
—
33–20
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

T. Seyboth Wild — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayM. Soto2 - 01.1881%WON
2026-09-13GenovaClayP. Martinez2 - 0——WON
2026-09-12GenovaClayM. Dodig2 - 1——WON
2026-09-11GenovaClayJ. P. Varillas0 - 2——WON
2026-09-09GenovaClayM. Giunta2 - 0——WON
2026-09-08GenovaClayF. Ferrari2 - 0——WON
2026-09-04ComoClayJ. P. Varillas1 - 1 RET——LOST
2026-09-02ComoClayN. Gombos2 - 0——WON
2026-09-01ComoClayM. Krumich2 - 0——WON
2026-08-26US OpenHardM. McDonald0 - 2——LOST

M. Soto — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayT. Seyboth Wild2 - 05.0681%LOST
2026-09-29CuritibaClayL. Midon0 - 22.5262%LOST
2026-09-20ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsM. Landaluce0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-11TullnClayV. Sachko1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-09TullnClayM. Moeller1 - 2——WON
2026-09-07TullnClayS. Kopp2 - 0——WON
2026-09-01ComoClayK. Feldbausch0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-26AugsburgClayM. Moeller2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-25AugsburgClayO. Krutykh0 - 2——WON
2026-08-18PragueClayR. Molleker0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Thiago Seyboth Wild or Matias Soto?

Thiago Seyboth Wild is favourite at 1.18, which is a 81% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Matias Soto?

Thiago Seyboth Wild is 1.18 and Matias Soto is 5.06, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.

Who will win Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Matias Soto?

Our model makes it Thiago Seyboth Wild to win 2-0 at 1.57 (Lean confidence).

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