Alex Barrena v Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongLOSTA. Barrena is 8-2 over the last ten and 28-22 on clay this season. M. Pucinelli de Almeida is 4-6 over the last ten and 28-12 on clay this season. The head to head is A. Barrena 1-2.
The pick is A. Barrena to win. We make it a 51% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.98 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Barrena | M. Pucinelli de Almeida | |
|---|---|---|
| 235 | Ranking | 260 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| WWWWW | Last 5 | LWWLL |
| +1.6 | V the odds | +0.1 |
| 29-28 | Season | 34-19 |
| 28-22 | Clay 2026 | 28-12 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 8d | Days rest | 3d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | Concepcion | M. Pucinelli de AlmeidavA. Barrena | 1 - 2 |
| 2024-10-08 | Villa Maria Challenger Men | M. Pucinelli de AlmeidavA. Barrena | 2 - 0 |
| 2023-09-27 | Bogota Challenger Men | A. BarrenavM. Pucinelli de Almeida | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Barrena — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | M. Pucinelli de Almeida | 0 - 2 | 2.20 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-27 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | F. Mena | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | J. Aguilar Cardozo | 0 - 2 | 2.70 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | J. C. Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | 2.14 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | J. P. Ficovich | 0 - 2 | 1.53 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | V. Garay | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | Biella | Clay | C. A. Caniato | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | Biella | Clay | J. C. Martin Manzano | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | Biella | Clay | S. Pieri | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Biella | Clay | M. Chazal | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
M. Pucinelli de Almeida — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | A. Barrena | 0 - 2 | 1.68 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Curitiba | Clay | T. Barrios Vera | 1 - 2 | 2.00 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | Clay | J. Reis Da Silva | 1 - 2 | 1.53 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | P. A. Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 1 | 1.16 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | H. Dellien | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | R. Bertola | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | Mallorca | Hard | J. D. Hara Friend | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Mallorca | Hard | M. Gengel | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | Mallorca | Hard | C. Langmo | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | O. Tarvet | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alex Barrena or Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida?
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida is favourite at 1.68, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alex Barrena vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida?
Alex Barrena is 2.20 and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida is 1.68, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.
What is the head-to-head between Alex Barrena and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida?
They have met 3 times and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida leads 2-1.
Who will win Alex Barrena vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida?
Our model makes it Alex Barrena to win at 2.20 (Strong confidence).