Samuel Heredia v Eduardo Ribeiro
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTS. Heredia is 3-7 over the last ten and 16-16 on clay this season. E. Ribeiro is 4-6 over the last ten and 19-20 on clay this season. The head to head is S. Heredia 2-0.
The pick is S. Heredia to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.77 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| S. Heredia | E. Ribeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 701 | Ranking | 407 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| LWWLL | Last 5 | LLWWL |
| -0.4 | V the odds | -0.7 |
| 20-26 | Season | 20-21 |
| 16-16 | Clay 2026 | 19-20 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 6d | Days rest | 6d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 2-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Quito | S. HerediavE. Ribeiro | 2 - 0 |
| 2025-07-09 | M25 Villavicencio | E. RibeirovS. Heredia | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
S. Heredia — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | E. Ribeiro | 0 - 2 | 3.91 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | J. E. Schiessl | 0 - 2 | 2.30 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | Clay | J. S. Osorio | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Curitiba | Clay | F. L. Storck | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | J. De Jong | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Cancun 2 | Hard | L. Djere | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-04 | M25+H Tauste | Hard | L. Potenza | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-20 | Segovia | Hard | M. Giunta | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-19 | Segovia | Hard | J. Echeverria | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-12 | Pozoblanco | Hard | I. Almazan Valiente | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
E. Ribeiro — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | S. Heredia | 0 - 2 | 1.27 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | P. Sakamoto | 0 - 2 | 1.54 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | P. Boscardin Dias | 2 - 0 | 2.00 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-09-24 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | F. Coria | 0 - 2 | 1.71 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | P. Martinez | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | Porto 2 | Clay | P. Vives Marcos | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | Porto 2 | Clay | J. Sels | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-30 | Porto 2 | Clay | N. Barrientos | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | Augsburg | Clay | S. Kopp | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-17 | Prague | Clay | S. Nagal | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Samuel Heredia or Eduardo Ribeiro?
Eduardo Ribeiro is favourite at 1.27, which is a 75% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Samuel Heredia vs Eduardo Ribeiro?
Samuel Heredia is 3.91 and Eduardo Ribeiro is 1.27, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.
What is the head-to-head between Samuel Heredia and Eduardo Ribeiro?
They have met 2 times and Samuel Heredia leads 2-0.
Who will win Samuel Heredia vs Eduardo Ribeiro?
Our model makes it Samuel Heredia to win a set (Lean confidence).