Thiago Agustin Tirante v Mattia Bellucci
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidWONM. Bellucci is 8-2 over the last ten and 29-19 on hard this season. T. A. Tirante is 4-6 over the last ten and 18-14 on hard this season. T. A. Tirante took a medical timeout on 2026-10-24. The head to head is T. A. Tirante 1-1.
The pick is M. Bellucci to win. We make it a 71% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.41 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| T. A. Tirante | M. Bellucci | |
|---|---|---|
| 54 | Ranking | 86 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 8-2 |
| WLLLW | Last 5 | WLWWW |
| -1.4 | V the odds | +1.4 |
| 34-23 | Season | 42-29 |
| 18-14 | Hard 2026 | 29-19 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| MTO | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Paris | T. A. TirantevM. Bellucci | 4-6 4-6 |
| 2026-01-30 | Manama | T. A. TirantevM. Bellucci | 4-6 4-6 |
| 2023-07-03 | Milan Challenger Men | T. A. TirantevM. Bellucci | 6-3 7-6 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
T. A. Tirante — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | M. Bellucci | 2.73 | 65% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 4-6 TiranteBellucciPoints won46%54%Serve points won67%75%Return points won25%33%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved0 of 24 of 4Aces139Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-10-31 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | Z. Svajda | 1.99 | 52% | WON | |
Games in each set3-6 6-1 6-4 TiranteSvajdaPoints won56%44%Serve points won76%59%Return points won41%24%Games held12 of 1310 of 13Break points saved1 of 27 of 10Aces237Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | A. Mannarino | 1.63 | 59% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 6-7 TiranteMannarinoPoints won48%52%Serve points won59%64%Return points won36%41%Games held7 of 118 of 11Break points saved2 of 63 of 6Aces93Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | F. Diaz Acosta | 1.34 | 72% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-6 1-6 4-6 TiranteAcostaPoints won44%56%Serve points won62%75%Return points won25%38%Games held11 of 1415 of 15Break points saved1 of 45 of 5Aces134Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | R. Jodar | 3.06 | 68% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 2-6 3-6 TiranteJodarPoints won48%52%Serve points won69%66%Return points won34%31%Games held10 of 1313 of 14Break points saved3 of 69 of 10Aces54Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | H. Medjedovic | 1.74 | 56% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 TiranteMedjedovicPoints won56%44%Serve points won76%64%Return points won36%24%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved1 of 12 of 5Aces113Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | J-L. Struff | 1.57 | 62% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 4-6 TiranteStruffPoints won40%60%Serve points won57%76%Return points won24%43%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved7 of 101 of 1Aces44Double faults40 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | M. Alkaya | 1.18 | 82% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-4 TiranteAlkayaPoints won57%43%Serve points won75%61%Return points won39%25%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved2 of 22 of 5Aces91Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | A. Mannarino | 1.40 | 69% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 6-3 3-6 3-6 3-6 TiranteMannarinoPoints won48%52%Serve points won60%64%Return points won36%40%Games held17 of 2319 of 23Break points saved6 of 126 of 10Aces194Double faults161 | |||||||
| 2026-08-21 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Fils | 3.93 | 75% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 2-6 TiranteFilsPoints won38%62%Serve points won54%79%Return points won21%46%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved2 of 50 of 0Aces63Double faults10 | |||||||
M. Bellucci — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | T. A. Tirante | 1.49 | 65% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 BellucciTirantePoints won54%46%Serve points won75%67%Return points won33%25%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved4 of 40 of 2Aces913Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-10-31 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | P. Carreno-Busta | 1.54 | 62% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 7-6 BellucciCarreno-BustaPoints won56%44%Serve points won72%57%Return points won43%28%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved1 of 27 of 10Aces111Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-10-22 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | T. Atmane | 1.90 | 51% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-6 6-7 6-7 BellucciAtmanePoints won51%49%Serve points won73%69%Return points won31%27%Games held16 of 1816 of 18Break points saved0 of 21 of 3Aces107Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | T. M. Etcheverry | 1.82 | 53% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 2-6 6-4 BellucciEtcheverryPoints won47%53%Serve points won67%74%Return points won26%33%Games held13 of 1514 of 15Break points saved7 of 95 of 6Aces1510Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-18 | Jinan | Hard | M. Landaluce | 1.63 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 4-6 6-3 BellucciLandalucePoints won55%45%Serve points won71%62%Return points won38%29%Games held13 of 1410 of 13Break points saved5 of 61 of 4Aces81Double faults41 | |||||||
| 2026-10-17 | Jinan | Hard | S. Mochizuki | 1.33 | 73% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 7-6 BellucciMochizukiPoints won58%42%Serve points won76%56%Return points won44%24%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved4 of 46 of 8Aces122Double faults17 | |||||||
| 2026-10-16 | Jinan | Hard | A. Shevchenko | 1.49 | 65% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 BellucciShevchenkoPoints won56%44%Serve points won76%65%Return points won35%24%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved2 of 22 of 4Aces121Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-15 | Jinan | Hard | L. Pavlovic | 1.24 | 78% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 BellucciPavlovicPoints won54%46%Serve points won62%55%Return points won45%38%Games held8 of 106 of 10Break points saved5 of 77 of 11Aces37Double faults45 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | Hard | E. Ymer | 1.26 | 77% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-1 BellucciYmerPoints won59%41%Serve points won65%46%Return points won54%35%Games held7 of 73 of 8Break points saved5 of 55 of 10Aces62Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | Y. Zhou | 1.29 | 75% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 6-3 6-7 BellucciZhouPoints won50%50%Serve points won68%66%Return points won34%32%Games held14 of 1514 of 16Break points saved5 of 69 of 11Aces612Double faults23 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Thiago Agustin Tirante or Mattia Bellucci?
Mattia Bellucci is favourite at 1.49, which is a 65% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mattia Bellucci?
Thiago Agustin Tirante is 2.73 and Mattia Bellucci is 1.49, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.
What is the head-to-head between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Mattia Bellucci?
They have met 3 times and Mattia Bellucci leads 2-1.
Who will win Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mattia Bellucci?
Our model makes it Mattia Bellucci to win at 1.49 (Solid confidence).