Nuno Borges v Alex Molcan
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanN. Borges is 5-5 over the last ten and 20-16 on hard this season. A. Molcan is 7-3 over the last ten and 16-10 on hard this season. N. Borges has played 4 matches in seven days. A. Molcan withdrew from a match in the last month.
The pick is N. Borges to win. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.75 or bigger. At 1.65 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| N. Borges | A. Molcan | |
|---|---|---|
| 51 | Ranking | 84 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WLWWL | Last 5 | WLWWL |
| -0.1 | V the odds | +1.1 |
| 32-29 | Season | 36-21 |
| 20-16 | Hard 2026 | 16-10 |
| 4 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| Clear | Fitness | withdrew |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
N. Borges — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | A. Mannarino | 1.63 | 59% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-1 7-5 BorgesMannarinoPoints won54%46%Serve points won63%56%Return points won44%37%Games held12 of 159 of 14Break points saved2 of 55 of 10Aces94Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-10-30 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | J-L. Struff | 2.10 | 54% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 3-6 BorgesStruffPoints won40%60%Serve points won49%67%Return points won33%51%Games held3 of 87 of 9Break points saved3 of 82 of 4Aces69Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-10-28 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | C. Ruud | 2.68 | 64% | WON | |
Games in each set1-6 6-3 6-4 BorgesRuudPoints won50%50%Serve points won65%66%Return points won34%35%Games held11 of 1311 of 13Break points saved5 of 72 of 4Aces412Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-10-26 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | M. Brunold | 1.45 | 67% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-1 BorgesBrunoldPoints won61%39%Serve points won68%46%Return points won54%32%Games held7 of 83 of 8Break points saved5 of 63 of 8Aces31Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | J. Lehecka | 3.30 | 71% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-3 3-6 BorgesLeheckaPoints won46%54%Serve points won63%73%Return points won27%37%Games held11 of 1313 of 14Break points saved6 of 80 of 1Aces512Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | F. Diaz Acosta | 1.30 | 75% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-2 BorgesAcostaPoints won55%45%Serve points won70%61%Return points won39%30%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved5 of 51 of 3Aces92Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Beijing | Hard | N. Djokovic | 2.95 | 68% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-7 BorgesDjokovicPoints won44%56%Serve points won65%75%Return points won25%35%Games held9 of 1011 of 11Break points saved1 of 22 of 2Aces38Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | D. Duran | 1.01 | 95% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-1 BorgesDuranPoints won64%36%Serve points won73%44%Return points won56%27%Games held7 of 73 of 8Break points saved1 of 11 of 6 | |||||||
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | L. Tien | 2.80 | 65% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 1-6 2-6 BorgesTienPoints won44%56%Serve points won57%71%Return points won29%43%Games held6 of 1212 of 13Break points saved10 of 161 of 2Aces11Double faults50 | |||||||
| 2026-08-20 | Cincinnati | Hard | B. Nakashima | 2.51 | 61% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 7-6 3-6 BorgesNakashimaPoints won47%53%Serve points won64%69%Return points won31%36%Games held12 of 1416 of 16Break points saved7 of 94 of 4Aces827Double faults23 | |||||||
A. Molcan — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-31 | Paris | Hard (Indoor) | D. Altmaier | 1.78 | 54% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-6 MolcanAltmaierPoints won55%45%Serve points won77%63%Return points won37%23%Games held11 of 1110 of 11Break points saved0 of 04 of 5Aces310Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-10-25 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | A. Mannarino | 1.61 | 60% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 2-6 MolcanMannarinoPoints won45%55%Serve points won53%61%Return points won39%47%Games held5 of 108 of 10Break points saved2 of 71 of 3Aces47Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Vienna | Hard (Indoor) | H. Medjedovic | 2.30 | 58% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-4 MolcanMedjedovicPoints won62%38%Serve points won88%56%Return points won44%12%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 05 of 8Aces138Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | F. Cina | 1.63 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-1 6-2 MolcanCinaPoints won56%44%Serve points won67%51%Return points won49%33%Games held9 of 126 of 13Break points saved2 of 57 of 14Aces611Double faults15 | |||||||
| 2026-10-02 | Beijing | Hard | K. Khachanov | 4.20 | 77% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 3-6 MolcanKhachanovPoints won41%59%Serve points won67%85%Return points won15%33%Games held8 of 1011 of 11Break points saved1 of 30 of 0Aces17Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | Hard | A. Rinderknech | 0 - 0 | 2.45 | 60% | LOST |
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | Hard | T. Machac | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-2 MolcanMachacPoints won64%36%Serve points won82%52%Return points won48%18%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved0 of 03 of 6Aces52Double faults02 | |||||||
| 2026-09-29 | Beijing | Hard | M. Trungelliti | 1.68 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-5 MolcanTrungellitiPoints won58%42%Serve points won66%52%Return points won48%34%Games held9 of 117 of 11Break points saved9 of 113 of 7Aces53Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Beijing | Hard | V. Kopriva | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 2-6 7-6 MolcanKoprivaPoints won50%50%Serve points won65%63%Return points won37%35%Games held12 of 1614 of 16Break points saved5 of 97 of 9Aces411Double faults16 | |||||||
| 2026-09-20 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | S. Tsitsipas | 2.80 | 65% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-2 3-6 4-6 MolcanTsitsipasPoints won49%51%Serve points won68%67%Return points won33%32%Games held11 of 1312 of 14Break points saved1 of 33 of 5Aces103Double faults22 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Nuno Borges or Alex Molcan?
Nuno Borges is favourite at 1.65, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Nuno Borges vs Alex Molcan?
Nuno Borges is 1.65 and Alex Molcan is 2.28, the prices we recorded for the Paris match.
Who will win Nuno Borges vs Alex Molcan?
Our model makes it Nuno Borges to win at 1.65 (Lean confidence).