ChallengerHardSeoul2026-10-29 02:00

Terence Atmane v Taro Daniel

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Strong

T. Daniel to win2.50

Worth backing at 2.29 or bigger · our chance 44% · market 63/37, us 56/44

T. Daniel is 5-5 over the last ten and 29-14 on hard this season. T. Atmane is 5-5 over the last ten and 19-19 on hard this season. T. Atmane took a medical timeout on 2026-10-20. T. Atmane retired from a match in the last month.

The pick is T. Daniel to win. We make it a 44% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.29 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

T. Atmane		T. Daniel
99	Ranking	177
5-5	Last 10	5-5
WLWWL	Last 5	WLLLL
-1.6	V the odds	-0.5
22-28	Season	39-19
19-19	Hard 2026	29-14
3	Last 7 days	1
2d	Days rest	2d
1	Wins here	1
MTOretired	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

T. AtmaneFAV1.4463%

T. Daniel2.5037%

Market says63% Atmane

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

T. AtmaneWLWWL

T. DanielWLLLL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

T. Atmane

T. Daniel

22-28

19-19

Did not play

Lost R32 to N. Basilashvili

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

39-19

29-14

Lost R16 to Y. Zhou

Lost Final to N. Basilashvili

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Terence Atmane

France

Taro Daniel

Japan

France

19–27

14–16

4–7

1–4

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

177

Japan

38–18

17–12

21–6

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

T. Atmane — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-27	Seoul	Hard	K. Matsuda		1.07	90%	WON
Games in each set4-6 6-1 6-2 AtmaneMatsudaPoints won55%45%Serve points won61%52%Return points won48%39%Games held11 of 137 of 12Break points saved8 of 107 of 12Aces73Double faults112
2026-10-23	Almaty	Hard (Indoor)	D. Medvedev		5.97	84%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 AtmaneMedvedevPoints won42%58%Serve points won60%82%Return points won18%40%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved6 of 80 of 0Aces45Double faults13
2026-10-22	Almaty	Hard (Indoor)	M. Bellucci		1.99	51%	WON
Games in each set6-7 7-6 7-6 AtmaneBellucciPoints won49%51%Serve points won69%73%Return points won27%31%Games held16 of 1816 of 18Break points saved1 of 30 of 2Aces710Double faults22
2026-10-19	Almaty	Hard (Indoor)	R. Hijikata		2.06	53%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2 AtmaneHijikataPoints won56%44%Serve points won79%66%Return points won34%21%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved1 of 12 of 4Aces93Double faults11
2026-10-05	Shanghai	Hard	B. Tomic	RET	1.35	71%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-4 3-5 AtmaneTomicPoints won46%54%Serve points won56%68%Return points won32%44%Games held10 of 1411 of 13Break points saved7 of 112 of 4Aces193Double faults60
2026-09-30	Jingshan	Hard	E. Ymer	RET	1.26	76%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 5-7 5-5 AtmaneYmerPoints won48%52%Serve points won67%71%Return points won29%33%Games held14 of 1614 of 16Break points saved6 of 85 of 7Aces124Double faults20
2026-09-29	Jingshan	Hard	E. Aguiard		1.11	85%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 AtmaneAguiardPoints won54%46%Serve points won75%68%Return points won32%25%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved1 of 11 of 3Aces65Double faults20
2026-09-28	Jingshan	Hard	D. Palan		—	—	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-4 AtmanePalanPoints won61%39%Serve points won84%58%Return points won42%16%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved0 of 04 of 7Aces43Double faults11
2026-09-23	Hangzhou	Hard	J. Faria		1.75	55%	LOST
Games in each set6-3 6-7 4-6 AtmaneFariaPoints won49%51%Serve points won70%76%Return points won24%30%Games held14 of 1613 of 15Break points saved5 of 72 of 4Aces910Double faults33
2026-08-30	US Open	Hard	J. Munar		1.51	64%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 6-3 1-6 6-7 5-7 AtmaneMunarPoints won48%52%Serve points won61%69%Return points won31%39%Games held20 of 2622 of 26Break points saved8 of 142 of 6Aces712Double faults104

T. Daniel — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-27	Seoul	Hard	A. Ilagan	1.64	59%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-1 DanielIlaganPoints won61%39%Serve points won75%50%Return points won50%25%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved3 of 38 of 12Aces82Double faults23
2026-10-17	Almaty	Hard (Indoor)	N. Basilashvili	2.31	58%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 5-7 DanielBasilashviliPoints won41%59%Serve points won53%71%Return points won29%47%Games held6 of 109 of 10Break points saved2 of 61 of 2Aces47Double faults12
2026-10-05	Shanghai	Hard	S. Mochizuki	1.68	57%	LOST
Games in each set6-2 2-6 2-6 DanielMochizukiPoints won48%52%Serve points won53%57%Return points won43%47%Games held7 of 129 of 12Break points saved3 of 84 of 7Aces35Double faults24
2026-09-28	Tokyo	Hard	D. Vallejo	—	—	LOST
Games in each set3-6 2-6 DanielVallejoPoints won40%60%Serve points won55%75%Return points won25%45%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved2 of 53 of 3Aces46Double faults10
2026-09-25	Hangzhou	Hard	F. Marozsan	3.04	68%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 5-7 6-7 DanielMarozsanPoints won48%52%Serve points won67%75%Return points won25%33%Games held16 of 1817 of 18Break points saved8 of 101 of 2Aces98Double faults01
2026-09-24	Hangzhou	Hard	D. Sweeny	1.62	60%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-2 DanielSweenyPoints won54%46%Serve points won70%61%Return points won39%30%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved4 of 55 of 8Aces511Double faults34
2026-09-23	Hangzhou	Hard	H. Matsuoka	1.48	65%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-6 DanielMatsuokaPoints won52%48%Serve points won65%59%Return points won41%35%Games held10 of 119 of 11Break points saved0 of 12 of 4Aces45Double faults14
2026-09-22	Hangzhou	Hard	Ja. Delaney	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 DanielDelaneyPoints won55%45%Serve points won76%63%Return points won37%24%Games held10 of 107 of 9Break points saved1 of 18 of 10Aces515Double faults02
2026-09-09	Shanghai	Hard	M. Sharipov	1.57	61%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 6-7 DanielSharipovPoints won47%53%Serve points won61%69%Return points won31%39%Games held9 of 1210 of 12Break points saved6 of 91 of 3Aces414Double faults21
2026-09-07	Shanghai	Hard	M. Dellavedova	1.25	78%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-1 DanielDellavedovaPoints won59%41%Serve points won71%49%Return points won51%29%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved2 of 28 of 12Aces45Double faults11

Common questions

Who is favourite, Terence Atmane or Taro Daniel?

Terence Atmane is favourite at 1.44, which is a 63% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Terence Atmane vs Taro Daniel?

Terence Atmane is 1.44 and Taro Daniel is 2.50, the prices we recorded for the Seoul match.

Who will win Terence Atmane vs Taro Daniel?

Our model makes it Taro Daniel to win at 2.50 (Strong confidence).

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Zhang v Sakamoto Shimabukuro v Friend Chung v Bu Harris v Vukic Harris v Jasika Kachmazov v Hong