Taylor Fritz v Rinky Hijikata
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanR. Hijikata is 3-7 over the last ten and 26-22 on hard this season. T. Fritz is 5-5 over the last ten and 26-15 on hard this season. T. Fritz took a medical timeout on 2026-10-24. T. Fritz has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is T. Fritz 1-0.
The pick is R. Hijikata to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 46% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.18 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| T. Fritz | R. Hijikata | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Ranking | 85 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 3-7 |
| LWWWL | Last 5 | LWLLL |
| -2.0 | V the odds | -1.3 |
| 37-20 | Season | 35-31 |
| 26-15 | Hard 2026 | 26-22 |
| 4 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 0 | Wins here | 1 |
| MTO | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-17 | ATP Delray Beach | T. FritzvR. Hijikata | 6-3 6-3 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
T. Fritz — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | L. Musetti | 1.49 | 66% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 4-6 FritzMusettiPoints won43%57%Serve points won63%73%Return points won27%37%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved2 of 40 of 0Aces64Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | T. Paul | 1.55 | 63% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-5 FritzPaulPoints won53%47%Serve points won67%66%Return points won34%33%Games held11 of 118 of 10Break points saved9 of 91 of 3Aces151Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-23 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | D. Altmaier | 1.24 | 78% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-2 FritzAltmaierPoints won57%43%Serve points won84%64%Return points won36%16%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved0 of 04 of 6Aces57Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-21 | Lyon (France) - Qualification | Hard (Indoor) | P. Herbert | 1.22 | 79% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 7-5 FritzHerbertPoints won58%42%Serve points won81%57%Return points won43%19%Games held10 of 107 of 10Break points saved0 of 08 of 11Aces55Double faults01 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | S. Tsitsipas | 1.65 | 59% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-3 5-7 3-6 FritzTsitsipasPoints won50%50%Serve points won71%67%Return points won33%29%Games held13 of 1514 of 15Break points saved6 of 88 of 9Aces2315Double faults42 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | M. Arnaldi | 1.26 | 77% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 6-4 FritzArnaldiPoints won54%46%Serve points won65%56%Return points won44%35%Games held10 of 118 of 11Break points saved4 of 54 of 7Aces94Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | J. Munar | 1.31 | 74% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-6 4-6 3-6 FritzMunarPoints won49%51%Serve points won62%67%Return points won33%38%Games held12 of 1614 of 15Break points saved9 of 137 of 8Aces710Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-09-26 | ATP Laver Cup | Hard (Indoor) | C. Alcaraz | 3.63 | 73% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-4 11-13 FritzAlcarazPoints won49%51%Serve points won57%61%Return points won39%43%Games held7 of 107 of 9Break points saved5 of 82 of 4Aces43Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-09-05 | US Open | Hard | F. Cerundolo | 1.15 | 85% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-3 6-4 3-6 4-6 4-6 FritzCerundoloPoints won50%50%Serve points won61%62%Return points won38%39%Games held18 of 2419 of 24Break points saved13 of 197 of 12Aces1210Double faults59 | |||||||
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | M. Bellucci | 1.11 | 87% | WON | |
Games in each set6-0 6-1 6-1 FritzBellucciPoints won66%34%Serve points won77%41%Return points won59%23%Games held10 of 102 of 10Break points saved3 of 37 of 15Aces113Double faults14 | |||||||
R. Hijikata — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | Y. Hanfmann | 2.17 | 56% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 6-1 3-6 HijikataHanfmannPoints won51%49%Serve points won68%64%Return points won36%32%Games held11 of 1311 of 13Break points saved2 of 49 of 11Aces29Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | M. Kecmanovic | 2.31 | 58% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-3 HijikataKecmanovicPoints won53%47%Serve points won71%63%Return points won37%29%Games held10 of 109 of 11Break points saved1 of 12 of 4Aces86Double faults30 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | T. Atmane | 1.84 | 53% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 2-6 HijikataAtmanePoints won44%56%Serve points won66%79%Return points won21%34%Games held8 of 1010 of 10Break points saved2 of 41 of 1Aces39Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | R. Safiullin | 3.46 | 72% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 3-6 HijikataSafiullinPoints won44%56%Serve points won60%73%Return points won27%40%Games held7 of 1010 of 11Break points saved3 of 61 of 2Aces56Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-09-29 | Tokyo | Hard | S. Tsitsipas | 3.28 | 71% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 3-6 HijikataTsitsipasPoints won41%59%Serve points won65%82%Return points won18%35%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved0 of 20 of 0Aces46Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Tokyo | Hard | C. Ugo Carabelli | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-3 HijikataCarabelliPoints won61%39%Serve points won76%53%Return points won47%24%Games held8 of 85 of 9Break points saved0 of 04 of 8Aces56Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-09-25 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Rublev | 3.21 | 70% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 3-6 HijikataRublevPoints won41%59%Serve points won56%82%Return points won18%44%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved6 of 90 of 0Aces312Double faults10 | |||||||
| 2026-09-24 | Hangzhou | Hard | D. Svrcina | 2.29 | 58% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-4 HijikataSvrcinaPoints won53%47%Serve points won62%54%Return points won46%38%Games held8 of 117 of 11Break points saved2 of 56 of 10Aces63Double faults29 | |||||||
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | F. Auger-Aliassime | 7.73 | 88% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 6-4 3-6 5-7 HijikataAuger-AliassimePoints won47%53%Serve points won61%66%Return points won34%39%Games held15 of 2118 of 22Break points saved7 of 134 of 8Aces517Double faults711 | |||||||
| 2026-08-26 | Winston-Salem | Hard | B. Bonzi | 1.91 | 51% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 1-6 HijikataBonziPoints won34%66%Serve points won42%76%Return points won24%58%Games held2 of 77 of 7Break points saved2 of 70 of 0Aces14Double faults24 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Taylor Fritz or Rinky Hijikata?
Taylor Fritz is favourite at 1.09, which is a 87% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata?
Taylor Fritz is 1.09 and Rinky Hijikata is 7.05, the prices we recorded for the Basel match.
What is the head-to-head between Taylor Fritz and Rinky Hijikata?
They have met 1 time and Taylor Fritz leads 1-0.
Who will win Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata?
Our model makes it Rinky Hijikata to win a set (Lean confidence).