THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 26 OCTOBERMATCHES 96EVENTS 14ALERTS 1
ATPHard (Indoor)Basel · 1/16-finals2026-10-27 10:00

Alex Michelsen v Botic Van De Zandschulp

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean
B. Van De Zandschulp to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.51 or bigger · our chance 66% · market 64/36, us 62/38

B. Van De Zandschulp is 6-4 over the last ten and 20-16 on hard this season. A. Michelsen is 6-4 over the last ten and 29-15 on hard this season. The head to head is A. Michelsen 0-1.

The pick is B. Van De Zandschulp to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 66% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.51 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. MichelsenB. Van De Zandschulp
35Ranking41
6-4Last 106-4
LWWLLLast 5LLWWW
+0.3V the odds+0.1
37-23Season31-25
29-15Hard 202620-16
2Last 7 days0
4dDays rest8d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. MichelsenFAV1.5064%
B. Van De Zandschulp2.7236%
Market says64% Michelsen

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Michelsen0
B. Van De Zandschulp1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-10ShanghaiB. Van De ZandschulpvA. Michelsen6-4 6-4

This season & this event

A. Michelsen
B. Van De Zandschulp
37-23
29-15
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
31-25
20-16
Lost R16 to R. Opelka
Lost R16 to S. Tsitsipas

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Alex Michelsen
USA
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Netherlands
35
22
USA
35–21
1
26–12
6–7
3–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
41
31
Netherlands
31–24
0
21–14
7–7
2–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Michelsen — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-23BrusselsHard (Indoor)A. Fils2.6964%LOST
2026-10-22BrusselsHard (Indoor)D. Goffin1.0790%WON
2026-10-19BrusselsHard (Indoor)A. Guerrieri1.2478%WON
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardB. Van De Zandschulp1.5264%LOST
2026-09-30TokyoHardC. Alcaraz5.7983%LOST
2026-09-08US OpenHardF. Tiafoe2.3659%LOST
2026-09-06US OpenHardT. M. Etcheverry1.3771%WON
2026-09-04US OpenHardD. Merida Aguilar1.5364%WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardB. Nakashima2.9967%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardF. Cina1.2280%WON

B. Van De Zandschulp — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-19BrusselsHard (Indoor)C. Chidekh1.7456%LOST
2026-10-14ShanghaiHardR. Jodar2.6763%LOST
2026-10-12ShanghaiHardA. Fils4.6979%WON
2026-10-10ShanghaiHardA. Michelsen2.7164%WON
2026-10-07ShanghaiHardD. Merida Aguilar1.9350%WON
2026-10-01BeijingHardF. Cerundolo2.2057%LOST
2026-09-29BeijingHardJ. Cui1.1979%WON
2026-09-28BeijingHardV. Royer——WON
2026-09-25ChengduHardN. Basilashvili1.5164%LOST
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryJ. A. Rodriguez——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Alex Michelsen or Botic Van De Zandschulp?

Alex Michelsen is favourite at 1.50, which is a 64% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Alex Michelsen vs Botic Van De Zandschulp?

Alex Michelsen is 1.50 and Botic Van De Zandschulp is 2.72, the prices we recorded for the Basel match.

What is the head-to-head between Alex Michelsen and Botic Van De Zandschulp?

They have met 1 time and Botic Van De Zandschulp leads 1-0.

Who will win Alex Michelsen vs Botic Van De Zandschulp?

Our model makes it Botic Van De Zandschulp to win a set (Lean confidence).

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