Stefanos Tsitsipas v Aleksandar Kovacevic
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanS. Tsitsipas is 8-2 over the last ten and 25-16 on hard this season. A. Kovacevic is 4-6 over the last ten and 15-21 on hard this season. The head to head is S. Tsitsipas 1-1.
The pick is S. Tsitsipas to win 2-0. We make it a 51% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.98 or bigger. At 1.83 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| S. Tsitsipas | A. Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | Ranking | 81 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| LWWWL | Last 5 | LLWLL |
| +1.2 | V the odds | -0.8 |
| 40-23 | Season | 22-32 |
| 25-16 | Hard 2026 | 15-21 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 5d | Days rest | 12d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Winston-Salem | A. KovacevicvS. Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 |
| 2024-02-23 | ATP Los Cabos | A. KovacevicvS. Tsitsipas | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
S. Tsitsipas — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Shanghai | Hard | D. Medvedev | 2 - 0 | 2.99 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | T. Fritz | 2 - 1 | 2.40 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | L. Darderi | 0 - 2 | 1.42 | 68% | WON |
| 2026-10-08 | Shanghai | Hard | K. Coppejans | 0 - 2 | 1.08 | 90% | WON |
| 2026-10-02 | Tokyo | Hard | V. Vacherot | 2 - 1 | 1.65 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | T. M. Etcheverry | 1 - 2 | 1.34 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Tokyo | Hard | R. Hijikata | 2 - 0 | 1.35 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Tokyo | Hard | Y. Nishioka | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | A. Molcan | 1 - 2 | 1.48 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | N. Gombos | 0 - 2 | 1.14 | 85% | WON |
A. Kovacevic — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | M. Berrettini | 1 - 2 | 2.67 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-09-29 | Tokyo | Hard | J. Munar | 2 - 0 | 2.30 | 58% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Tokyo | Hard | Z. Svajda | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | Chengdu | Hard | L. Harris | 2 - 0 | 2.56 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | V. Vacherot | 3 - 0 | 2.03 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-28 | Winston-Salem | Hard | A. Fery | 2 - 1 | 1.93 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | Winston-Salem | Hard | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 | 3.21 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | F. Balshaw | 0 - 2 | 1.47 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | L. van Assche | 0 - 2 | 2.20 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-08-16 | Cincinnati | Hard | B. Nakashima | 2 - 0 | 4.12 | 77% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Stefanos Tsitsipas or Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Stefanos Tsitsipas is favourite at 1.28, which is a 75% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Stefanos Tsitsipas is 1.28 and Aleksandar Kovacevic is 3.75, the prices we recorded for the Almaty match.
What is the head-to-head between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Aleksandar Kovacevic?
They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.
Who will win Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Our model makes it Stefanos Tsitsipas to win 2-0 at 1.83 (Lean confidence).