THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 13 OCTOBERMATCHES 224EVENTS 35LIVE 2ALERTS 135
ChallengerHardJinan2026-10-12 04:00

Stefanos Sakellaridis v Juncheng Shang

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean
S. Sakellaridis to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.67 or bigger · our chance 60% · market 25/75, us 31/69

S. Sakellaridis is 2-8 over the last ten and 24-11 on hard this season. J. Shang is 3-7 over the last ten and 6-10 on hard this season. S. Sakellaridis took a medical timeout on 2026-09-29. J. Shang took a medical timeout on 2026-10-03.

The pick is S. Sakellaridis to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 60% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.67 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

S. SakellaridisJ. Shang
134Ranking250
2-8Last 103-7
LLLLLLast 5LWLLL
-3.1V the odds-1.7
40-25Season6-10
24-11Hard 20266-10
1Last 7 days0
7dDays rest10d
0Wins here0
MTOFitnessMTO
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

S. Sakellaridis3.7025%
J. ShangFAV1.2275%
Market says75% Shang

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

S. Sakellaridis
J. Shang
40-26
24-12
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
6-10
6-10
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Stefanos Sakellaridis
Greece
Juncheng Shang
China
134
22
Greece
40–23
2
18–8
18–9
4–3
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
250
21
China
5–9
0
5–9
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

S. Sakellaridis — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12JinanHardK. Smith1 - 21.6459%LOST
2026-10-05ShanghaiHardT. Skatov2 - 01.5164%LOST
2026-09-29JingshanHardY. Shimizu0 - 21.3669%LOST
2026-09-20ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryN. Gombos2 - 02.5362%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryA. Molcan2 - 02.7464%LOST
2026-09-11GenovaClayL. Djere2 - 12.6764%LOST
2026-09-09GenovaClayD. Ajdukovic1 - 21.3472%WON
2026-09-07GenovaClayM. Poljicak0 - 21.4766%WON
2026-09-01ComoClayA. Nedic1 - 21.6857%LOST
2026-08-25US OpenHardC. O'Connell0 - 22.4661%LOST

J. Shang — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-02BeijingHardA. Zverev2 - 010.0590%LOST
2026-09-30BeijingHardS. Baez2 - 11.6758%WON
2026-09-23ChengduHardA. Mannarino0 - 21.4766%LOST
2026-08-31US OpenHardM. Trungelliti2 - 31.4965%LOST
2026-08-14CincinnatiHardL. Sonego0 - 21.6758%LOST
2026-08-06MontrealHardL. Darderi2 - 11.8852%LOST
2026-08-04MontrealHardA. Rublev2 - 13.8675%WON
2026-08-02MontrealHardD. Vallejo0 - 21.6858%WON
2026-07-27WashingtonHardK. Nishikori2 - 11.6958%LOST
2026-02-24DubaiHardD. Medvedev2 - 05.2081%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Stefanos Sakellaridis or Juncheng Shang?

Juncheng Shang is favourite at 1.22, which is a 75% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Juncheng Shang?

Stefanos Sakellaridis is 3.70 and Juncheng Shang is 1.22, the prices we recorded for the Jinan match.

Who will win Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Juncheng Shang?

Our model makes it Stefanos Sakellaridis to win a set (Lean confidence).

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