THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 13 OCTOBERMATCHES 224EVENTS 35LIVE 2ALERTS 135
ChallengerHardJinan2026-10-12 04:00

Alibek Kachmazov v Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
A. Kachmazov to win2.17
Worth backing at 1.97 or bigger · our chance 51% · market 44/55, us 51/49

A. Kachmazov is 10-0 over the last ten and 26-7 on hard this season. J. D. Hara Friend is 8-2 over the last ten and 27-15 on hard this season. A. Kachmazov has played 6 matches in seven days. J. D. Hara Friend has played 5 matches in seven days. The head to head is A. Kachmazov 1-0.

The pick is A. Kachmazov to win. We make it a 51% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.97 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. KachmazovJ. D. Hara Friend
-Ranking254
10-0Last 108-2
WWWWWLast 5LWWWW
+2.4V the odds+1.3
27-9Season31-16
26-7Hard 202627-15
6Last 7 days5
1dDays rest1d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. Kachmazov2.2044%
J. D. Hara FriendFAV1.7356%
Market says56% Friend

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

A. Kachmazov1
J. D. Hara Friend0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-11Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationJ. D. Hara FriendvA. Kachmazov1 - 2

This season & this event

A. Kachmazov
J. D. Hara Friend
27-10
26-8
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on hard
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
32-16
28-15
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Alibek Kachmazov
World
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Japan
525
24
World
27–9
4
27–8
0–1
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
260
22
Japan
31–16
0
31–16
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Kachmazov — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12JinanHardJ. D. Hara Friend1 - 22.2056%LOST
2026-10-11Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardJ. D. Hara Friend1 - 22.3158%WON
2026-10-10Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardO. Jasika2 - 01.5164%WON
2026-10-09Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardF. Sun0 - 21.6957%WON
2026-10-07Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardE. Zhu0 - 21.5263%WON
2026-10-06Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardC. Broom2 - 11.9551%WON
2026-10-05Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardG. Lomakin2 - 01.0689%WON
2026-10-04Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardY. L. Chen2 - 0——WON
2026-09-27M25 YinchuanHardK. S. Chen2 - 0——WON
2026-09-26M25 YinchuanHardM. Sasikumar2 - 0——WON

J. D. Hara Friend — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12JinanHardA. Kachmazov1 - 21.7356%WON
2026-10-11Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardA. Kachmazov1 - 21.6658%LOST
2026-10-10Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardK. Saitoh0 - 21.2180%WON
2026-10-09Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardR. Seggerman2 - 01.5363%WON
2026-10-07Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardW. K. Leong M.2 - 01.3571%WON
2026-10-06Wuning 3 (China) - QualificationHardY. Kikuchi2 - 01.0788%WON
2026-09-13IstanbulClayM. Basing1 - 21.7157%LOST
2026-09-12IstanbulClayM. Kasnikowski0 - 21.9751%WON
2026-09-11IstanbulClayY. Erel1 - 21.7456%WON
2026-09-09IstanbulClayS. Hamza Reguig0 - 21.1086%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Alibek Kachmazov or Jay Dylan Hara Friend?

Jay Dylan Hara Friend is favourite at 1.73, which is a 56% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Alibek Kachmazov vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend?

Alibek Kachmazov is 2.20 and Jay Dylan Hara Friend is 1.73, the prices we recorded for the Jinan match.

What is the head-to-head between Alibek Kachmazov and Jay Dylan Hara Friend?

They have met 1 time and Alibek Kachmazov leads 1-0.

Who will win Alibek Kachmazov vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend?

Our model makes it Alibek Kachmazov to win at 2.17 (Solid confidence).

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