Facundo Diaz Acosta v Shintaro Mochizuki
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTF. Diaz Acosta is 7-3 over the last ten and 6-5 on hard this season. S. Mochizuki is 4-6 over the last ten and 14-23 on hard this season.
The pick is F. Diaz Acosta to win. We make it a 62% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.61 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| F. Diaz Acosta | S. Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| 72 | Ranking | 120 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| LLWWW | Last 5 | LWLLW |
| +1.1 | V the odds | -0.2 |
| 49-19 | Season | 22-32 |
| 6-5 | Hard 2026 | 14-23 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 5d | Days rest | 6d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Defending semi |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Jinan | F. Diaz AcostavS. Mochizuki | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
F. Diaz Acosta — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | Hard | S. Mochizuki | 0 - 2 | 1.71 | 56% | LOST |
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | N. Borges | 2 - 0 | 3.81 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-09-15 | Szczecin | Clay | D. E. Galan | 1 - 2 | 1.17 | 80% | LOST |
| 2026-09-13 | Seville | Clay | D. Lajovic | 2 - 0 | 1.62 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-12 | Seville | Clay | J. Munar | 1 - 2 | 1.99 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | Seville | Clay | S. Ofner | 2 - 0 | 1.57 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Seville | Clay | A. Moro Canas | 2 - 0 | 1.35 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | Seville | Clay | P. Martin Tiffon | 2 - 1 | 1.27 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | Q. Halys | 3 - 1 | 3.62 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-08-02 | San Marino | Clay | M. Poljicak | 2 - 0 | 1.28 | 76% | WON |
S. Mochizuki — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | Hard | F. Diaz Acosta | 0 - 2 | 2.22 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai | Hard | R. Safiullin | 2 - 0 | 4.97 | 81% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | T. Daniel | 1 - 2 | 2.22 | 57% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | Tokyo | Hard | J. Faria | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-24 | Chengdu | Hard | M. Damm | 2 - 0 | 2.54 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | P. Kotov | 2 - 0 | 2.37 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Chengdu | Hard | L. Xiao | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-15 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | P. Kotov | 0 - 2 | 1.88 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | J. Mensik | 3 - 0 | 7.50 | 87% | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | F. Passaro | 0 - 2 | 1.79 | 54% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Facundo Diaz Acosta or Shintaro Mochizuki?
Facundo Diaz Acosta is favourite at 1.71, which is a 56% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki?
Facundo Diaz Acosta is 1.71 and Shintaro Mochizuki is 2.22, the prices we recorded for the Jinan match.
What is the head-to-head between Facundo Diaz Acosta and Shintaro Mochizuki?
They have met 1 time and Shintaro Mochizuki leads 1-0.
Who will win Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki?
Our model makes it Facundo Diaz Acosta to win at 1.70 (Solid confidence).