ATPHard (Indoor)Basel · 1/16-finals2026-10-27 10:00

Stan Wawrinka v Jiri Lehecka

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

J. Lehecka to win 2-01.57

Price too short today - wait for 1.78 or bigger · our chance 56% · market 18/82, us 16/84

J. Lehecka is 7-3 over the last ten and 25-15 on hard this season. S. Wawrinka is 2-8 over the last ten and 7-10 on hard this season.

The pick is J. Lehecka to win 2-0. We make it a 56% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.78 or bigger. At 1.57 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

S. Wawrinka		J. Lehecka
141	Ranking	19
2-8	Last 10	7-3
LWLLL	Last 5	LWLWL
-1.5	V the odds	+0.9
10-21	Season	37-20
7-10	Hard 2026	25-15
1	Last 7 days	2
5d	Days rest	4d
0	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

S. Wawrinka5.4018%

J. LeheckaFAV1.1882%

Market says82% Lehecka

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

S. WawrinkaLWLLL

J. LeheckaLWLWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

S. Wawrinka

J. Lehecka

10-21

7-10

Lost R16 to C. Ruud

Lost R16 to B. Shelton

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

37-20

25-15

Lost R32 to B. Van De Zandschulp

Lost R32 to P. Martinez

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Stan Wawrinka

Switzerland

Jiri Lehecka

Czech Republic

141

Switzerland

9–20

7–10

2–8

0–1

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

Czech Republic

35–18

20–11

6–4

6–3

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

S. Wawrinka — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-22	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	F. Cobolli	3.44	72%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 4-6 WawrinkaCobolliPoints won41%59%Serve points won60%78%Return points won22%40%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved1 of 41 of 1Aces63Double faults02
2026-10-19	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	M. Landaluce	2.46	60%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-7 7-6 WawrinkaLandalucePoints won51%49%Serve points won73%69%Return points won31%27%Games held17 of 1715 of 16Break points saved4 of 49 of 10Aces167Double faults15
2026-09-18	ATP Davis Cup - World Group I	- Preliminary	G. Heide	1.52	62%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 6-7 4-6 WawrinkaHeidePoints won49%51%Serve points won75%83%Return points won17%25%Games held15 of 1615 of 16Break points saved8 of 91 of 2Aces136Double faults21
2026-08-31	US Open	Hard	M. Berrettini	4.12	76%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-7 0-6 WawrinkaBerrettiniPoints won44%56%Serve points won56%68%Return points won32%44%Games held10 of 1513 of 15Break points saved2 of 711 of 13Aces713Double faults63
2026-08-21	Cancun 2	Hard	R. Safiullin	2.91	67%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 WawrinkaSafiullinPoints won42%58%Serve points won65%82%Return points won18%35%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved1 of 33 of 3Aces35Double faults20
2026-08-19	Cancun 2	Hard	D. Svrcina	2.71	64%	WON
Games in each set7-6 7-6 WawrinkaSvrcinaPoints won51%49%Serve points won67%68%Return points won32%33%Games held11 of 1211 of 12Break points saved4 of 52 of 3Aces33Double faults46
2026-07-21	Estoril	Clay	R. A. Burruchaga	2.81	65%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-4 3-6 WawrinkaBurruchagaPoints won48%52%Serve points won51%55%Return points won45%49%Games held8 of 159 of 14Break points saved10 of 177 of 12Aces43Double faults34
2026-07-14	Gstaad	Clay	J. Faria	2.86	66%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 4-6 4-6 WawrinkaFariaPoints won48%52%Serve points won70%71%Return points won29%30%Games held14 of 1616 of 16Break points saved0 of 26 of 6Aces1614Double faults28
2026-06-30	Wimbledon	Grass	M. Berrettini	4.69	79%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 6-7 6-7 6-7 WawrinkaBerrettiniPoints won49%51%Serve points won73%78%Return points won22%27%Games held23 of 2423 of 24Break points saved5 of 61 of 2Aces1829Double faults74
2026-05-25	French Open	Clay	J. De Jong	2.46	60%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-3 3-6 4-6 WawrinkaJongPoints won45%55%Serve points won61%69%Return points won31%39%Games held14 of 1817 of 19Break points saved2 of 69 of 11Aces1010Double faults24

J. Lehecka — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-23	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	T. Griekspoor	1.37	71%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 4-6 3-6 LeheckaGriekspoorPoints won48%52%Serve points won62%63%Return points won37%38%Games held11 of 1413 of 15Break points saved1 of 45 of 7Aces117Double faults04
2026-10-22	Brussels	Hard (Indoor)	R. Collignon	1.33	73%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 LeheckaCollignonPoints won58%42%Serve points won77%59%Return points won41%23%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved1 of 11 of 4Aces93Double faults03
2026-10-12	Shanghai	Hard	R. Jodar	1.62	60%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 6-7 4-6 LeheckaJodarPoints won49%51%Serve points won68%67%Return points won33%32%Games held15 of 1615 of 16Break points saved3 of 45 of 6Aces103Double faults20
2026-10-10	Shanghai	Hard	N. Borges	1.38	71%	WON
Games in each set6-3 3-6 6-3 LeheckaBorgesPoints won54%46%Serve points won73%63%Return points won37%27%Games held13 of 1411 of 13Break points saved0 of 16 of 8Aces125Double faults12
2026-10-06	Tokyo	Hard	C. Alcaraz	4.03	76%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 4-6 LeheckaAlcarazPoints won47%53%Serve points won68%79%Return points won21%32%Games held9 of 1110 of 11Break points saved2 of 42 of 3Aces74Double faults01
2026-10-05	Tokyo	Hard	V. Vacherot	1.56	62%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 LeheckaVacherotPoints won61%39%Serve points won90%60%Return points won40%10%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 03 of 6Aces104Double faults03
2026-10-04	Tokyo	Hard	D. Vallejo	1.36	71%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-1 LeheckaVallejoPoints won67%33%Serve points won80%43%Return points won57%20%Games held7 of 72 of 7Break points saved0 of 03 of 8Aces43Double faults02
2026-10-03	Tokyo	Hard	U. Humbert	1.59	61%	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-4 6-4 LeheckaHumbertPoints won53%47%Serve points won79%69%Return points won31%21%Games held15 of 1614 of 16Break points saved1 of 27 of 9Aces154Double faults32
2026-09-30	Tokyo	Hard	Z. Bergs	1.38	71%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-7 6-3 LeheckaBergsPoints won53%47%Serve points won69%63%Return points won37%31%Games held16 of 1612 of 14Break points saved2 of 211 of 13Aces91Double faults23
2026-09-19	ATP Davis Cup - World Group	- Play Offs	L. Tien	1.94	50%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-5 LeheckaTienPoints won54%46%Serve points won64%57%Return points won43%36%Games held9 of 116 of 10Break points saved6 of 85 of 9Aces51Double faults33

Common questions

Who is favourite, Stan Wawrinka or Jiri Lehecka?

Jiri Lehecka is favourite at 1.18, which is a 82% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Stan Wawrinka vs Jiri Lehecka?

Stan Wawrinka is 5.40 and Jiri Lehecka is 1.18, the prices we recorded for the Basel match.

Who will win Stan Wawrinka vs Jiri Lehecka?

Our model makes it Jiri Lehecka to win 2-0 at 1.57 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event

Fokina v Bergs Djokovic v Humbert Fritz v Tsitsipas Hurkacz v Fils Kym v Rinderknech Michelsen v Zandschulp