Sergey Fomin v Timofei Derepasko
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTS. Fomin is 3-7 over the last ten. T. Derepasko is 5-5 over the last ten. The head to head is S. Fomin 1-0.
The pick is S. Fomin to win. We make it a 70% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.43 or bigger. At 1.40 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| S. Fomin | T. Derepasko | |
|---|---|---|
| 340 | Ranking | 642 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LLLLL | Last 5 | LLLWW |
| - | V the odds | -0.6 |
| 26-23 | Season | 27-27 |
| - | Surface | - |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 20d | Days rest | 7d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | S. FominvT. Derepasko | 0 - 2 |
| 2025-11-06 | M15 Manama | T. DerepaskovS. Fomin | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
S. Fomin — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | T. Derepasko | 0 - 2 | 1.40 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-09-15 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | W. K. Leong M. | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Shanghai | Hard | Y. Zhou | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | K. Sultanov | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | M15 Maanshan 8 | Hard | X. Han | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-15 | Astana | Hard | A. Dougaz | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-14 | Astana | Hard | M. Imamura | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-13 | Astana | Hard | K. Samrej | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-11 | Astana | Hard | M. Zhukov | 1 - 0 RET | — | — | WON |
| 2026-07-26 | Bonn | Clay | G. La Vela | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
T. Derepasko — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | S. Fomin | 0 - 2 | 2.70 | 66% | WON |
| 2026-09-28 | M15 Telavi 2 (Georgia) | Clay | M. Dimic | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | M15 Telavi | Clay | F. Ferrari | 2 - 1 | 1.46 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-09-15 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | I. Simakin | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | T. Ichikawa | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-13 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | S. Storch | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | C. Hewitt | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | S. Ryan Ziegann | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | T. Yamanaka | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-06 | Phan Thiet 3 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | M. T. Nguyen | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Sergey Fomin or Timofei Derepasko?
Sergey Fomin is favourite at 1.40, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Sergey Fomin vs Timofei Derepasko?
Sergey Fomin is 1.40 and Timofei Derepasko is 2.70, the prices we recorded for the Wuning 3 (China) match.
What is the head-to-head between Sergey Fomin and Timofei Derepasko?
They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.
Who will win Sergey Fomin vs Timofei Derepasko?
Our model makes it Sergey Fomin to win at 1.40 (Lean confidence).