Luca Castelnuovo v Akira Santillan
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTL. Castelnuovo is 5-5 over the last ten and 25-16 on hard this season. A. Santillan is 3-7 over the last ten and 22-23 on hard this season.
The pick is L. Castelnuovo to win. We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.75 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. Castelnuovo | A. Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| 376 | Ranking | 319 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 3-7 |
| LLWLW | Last 5 | LLWLW |
| - | V the odds | -0.8 |
| 27-22 | Season | 31-28 |
| 25-16 | Hard 2026 | 22-23 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 13d | Days rest | 6d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | L. CastelnuovovA. Santillan | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. Castelnuovo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | A. Santillan | 1 - 2 | 1.80 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | Chengdu | Hard | P. Kotov | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-16 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | E. Ymer | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-15 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | O. Jasika | 1 - 1 RET | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-12 | Shanghai | Hard | I. Ivashka | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-11 | Shanghai | Hard | S. Nam Ji | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Shanghai | Hard | Wu Tung-Lin | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Shanghai | Hard | C. H. Tseng | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | Shanghai | Hard | T. Huang | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | M. Dellavedova | 1 - 1 RET | — | — | LOST |
A. Santillan — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | L. Castelnuovo | 1 - 2 | 1.87 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | L. Pavlovic | 0 - 2 | 2.25 | 59% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Bolt | 2 - 1 | 2.87 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | Hangzhou | Hard | K. Kang | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | P. Kotov | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-14 | Guangzhou 2 | Hard | Y. Zeng | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Shanghai | Hard | B. Tomic | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-03 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | I. Ivashka | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | O. Jasika | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | M25 Taipei 2 | Hard | S. Shin | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Luca Castelnuovo or Akira Santillan?
Luca Castelnuovo is favourite at 1.80, which is a 51% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan?
Luca Castelnuovo is 1.80 and Akira Santillan is 1.87, the prices we recorded for the Wuning 3 (China) match.
What is the head-to-head between Luca Castelnuovo and Akira Santillan?
They have met 1 time and Akira Santillan leads 1-0.
Who will win Luca Castelnuovo vs Akira Santillan?
Our model makes it Luca Castelnuovo to win at 1.80 (Solid confidence).