Remy Bertola v Denis Shapovalov
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanD. Shapovalov is 7-3 over the last ten and 19-15 on hard this season. R. Bertola is 5-5 over the last ten and 15-17 on hard this season. D. Shapovalov retired from a match in the last month.
The pick is D. Shapovalov to win 2-0. We make it a 49% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.03 or bigger. At 1.72 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| R. Bertola | D. Shapovalov | |
|---|---|---|
| 227 | Ranking | 46 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WWLLW | Last 5 | LWWLW |
| -0.5 | V the odds | +2.2 |
| 33-31 | Season | 21-21 |
| 15-17 | Hard 2026 | 19-15 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 2d | Days rest | 23d |
| 2 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | retired23d out |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
R. Bertola — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | M. Brunold | 2.33 | 59% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-4 BertolaBrunoldPoints won53%47%Serve points won65%59%Return points won41%35%Games held9 of 118 of 11Break points saved2 of 42 of 5Aces42Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | Basel | Hard (Indoor) | J. Paul | 1.38 | 69% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-1 BertolaPaulPoints won61%39%Serve points won75%49%Return points won51%25%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved1 of 19 of 13Aces01Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | D. Goffin | 1.55 | 63% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-3 3-6 4-6 BertolaGoffinPoints won50%50%Serve points won64%61%Return points won39%36%Games held11 of 1412 of 14Break points saved3 of 69 of 11Aces85Double faults44 | |||||||
| 2026-10-18 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | F. Cina | 2.37 | 59% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-3 6-7 6-7 BertolaCinaPoints won50%50%Serve points won66%68%Return points won32%34%Games held16 of 1714 of 16Break points saved8 of 93 of 5Aces135Double faults41 | |||||||
| 2026-10-17 | Brussels | Hard (Indoor) | G. Mpetshi Perricard | 2.29 | 58% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-7 7-5 BertolaPerricardPoints won51%49%Serve points won78%75%Return points won25%22%Games held18 of 1817 of 18Break points saved0 of 04 of 5Aces1130Double faults53 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Roanne | Hard (Indoor) | O. Virtanen | 3.37 | 71% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 5-7 BertolaVirtanenPoints won45%55%Serve points won61%71%Return points won29%39%Games held9 of 1211 of 12Break points saved6 of 94 of 5Aces317Double faults34 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | L. Poullain | 1.66 | 58% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-3 5-7 3-6 BertolaPoullainPoints won50%50%Serve points won67%64%Return points won36%33%Games held12 of 1513 of 15Break points saved4 of 73 of 5Aces64Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-09-29 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif | Hard (Indoor) | A. Reco | 1.22 | 76% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-3 BertolaRecoPoints won55%45%Serve points won72%57%Return points won43%28%Games held9 of 97 of 10Break points saved1 of 14 of 7Aces36Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez | Hard | J. De Jong | 3.38 | 71% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 6-7 BertolaJongPoints won47%53%Serve points won64%75%Return points won25%36%Games held11 of 1211 of 12Break points saved5 of 64 of 5Aces86Double faults61 | |||||||
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | M. Pucinelli de Almeida | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set3-6 6-4 10-8 BertolaAlmeidaPoints won50%50%Serve points won55%55%Return points won45%45%Games held5 of 96 of 10Break points saved6 of 107 of 11Aces11Double faults10 | |||||||
D. Shapovalov — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Tokyo | Hard | C. Alcaraz | RET | 6.20 | 85% | LOST |
Games in each set6-7 1-2 ShapovalovAlcarazPoints won45%55%Serve points won48%57%Return points won43%52%Games held4 of 75 of 8Break points saved4 of 71 of 4Aces10Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-10-03 | Tokyo | Hard | A. Tabilo | 1.72 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 3-6 6-4 ShapovalovTabiloPoints won50%50%Serve points won62%62%Return points won38%38%Games held12 of 1512 of 16Break points saved1 of 41 of 5Aces113Double faults50 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Tokyo | Hard | S. Shimabukuro | 1.36 | 72% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 6-1 ShapovalovShimabukuroPoints won61%39%Serve points won72%50%Return points won50%28%Games held9 of 105 of 9Break points saved5 of 63 of 7Aces111Double faults26 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Chengdu | Hard | H. Hurkacz | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set7-6 3-6 3-6 ShapovalovHurkaczPoints won47%53%Serve points won65%74%Return points won26%35%Games held12 of 1515 of 15Break points saved2 of 53 of 3Aces148Double faults43 | |||||||
| 2026-09-27 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Mannarino | 1.42 | 69% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-3 6-2 ShapovalovMannarinoPoints won52%48%Serve points won68%68%Return points won32%32%Games held14 of 1411 of 15Break points saved4 of 44 of 8Aces146Double faults91 | |||||||
| 2026-09-25 | Chengdu | Hard | V. Kopriva | 1.30 | 75% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-3 ShapovalovKoprivaPoints won61%39%Serve points won77%53%Return points won47%23%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved0 of 12 of 6Aces40Double faults50 | |||||||
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | T. Griekspoor | 1.75 | 55% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-6 ShapovalovGriekspoorPoints won49%51%Serve points won68%75%Return points won25%32%Games held10 of 119 of 11Break points saved3 of 41 of 3Aces116Double faults41 | |||||||
| 2026-09-04 | US Open | Hard | B. Shelton | 4.46 | 78% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 7-6 3-6 4-6 ShapovalovSheltonPoints won47%53%Serve points won63%67%Return points won33%37%Games held15 of 2118 of 22Break points saved5 of 114 of 8Aces814Double faults77 | |||||||
| 2026-09-02 | US Open | Hard | L. van Assche | 1.67 | 59% | WON | |
Games in each set6-0 6-4 7-6 ShapovalovAsschePoints won56%44%Serve points won63%52%Return points won48%37%Games held11 of 147 of 14Break points saved8 of 112 of 9Aces114Double faults94 | |||||||
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | M. Kecmanovic | 1.72 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 4-6 6-4 6-1 ShapovalovKecmanovicPoints won54%46%Serve points won68%59%Return points won41%32%Games held16 of 1912 of 18Break points saved3 of 68 of 14Aces193Double faults112 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Remy Bertola or Denis Shapovalov?
Denis Shapovalov is favourite at 1.25, which is a 75% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Remy Bertola vs Denis Shapovalov?
Remy Bertola is 3.75 and Denis Shapovalov is 1.25, the prices we recorded for the Basel match.
Who will win Remy Bertola vs Denis Shapovalov?
Our model makes it Denis Shapovalov to win 2-0 at 1.72 (Lean confidence).