THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 07 OCTOBERMATCHES 343EVENTS 34LIVE 3ALERTS 171
ChallengerClayVillena2026-10-06 11:00

Philip Henning v Maks Kasnikowski

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
M. Kasnikowski to win1.72
Price too short today - wait for 1.82 or bigger · our chance 55% · market 44/56, us 45/55

M. Kasnikowski is 5-5 over the last ten and 26-14 on clay this season. P. Henning is 6-4 over the last ten and 14-10 on clay this season. The head to head is P. Henning 0-1.

The pick is M. Kasnikowski to win. We make it a 55% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.82 or bigger. At 1.72 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

P. HenningM. Kasnikowski
324Ranking231
6-4Last 105-5
WWLLWLast 5LLWWW
-0.0V the odds-
39-21Season42-25
14-10Clay 202626-14
2Last 7 days0
1dDays rest17d
2Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

P. Henning2.1844%
M. KasnikowskiFAV1.7456%
Market says56% Kasnikowski

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

P. Henning1
M. Kasnikowski1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-07VillenaP. HenningvM. Kasnikowski2 - 0
2026-08-04Grodzisk MazowieckiP. HenningvM. Kasnikowski0 - 2

This season & this event

P. Henning
M. Kasnikowski
40-21
15-10
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
42-26
26-15
Lost R16 to D. Merida Aguilar
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Philip Henning
South Africa
Maks Kasnikowski
Poland
266
25
South Africa
37–20
2
23–9
12–10
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
231
23
Poland
42–24
1
20–12
21–12
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

P. Henning — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06VillenaClayM. Kasnikowski2 - 02.1856%WON
2026-10-05VillenaClayI. Marrero Curbelo2 - 01.2273%WON
2026-10-04VillenaClayT. Boogaard2 - 11.4265%WON
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)T. Schoolkate0 - 22.7066%LOST
2026-09-26M25 SetubalHardA. Deckers2 - 01.2775%LOST
2026-09-25M25 SetubalHardR. Bertrand0 - 21.5063%WON
2026-09-24M25 SetubalHardT. Curras Abasolo0 - 21.0390%WON
2026-09-23M25 SetubalHardJ. D. Silva1 - 2——WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryA. Nedic0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-21M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2HardR. Fernandes1 - 2——LOST

M. Kasnikowski — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06VillenaClayP. Henning2 - 01.7456%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryA. De Minaur2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-12IstanbulClayJ. D. Hara Friend0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-11IstanbulClayF. Maestrelli1 - 2——WON
2026-09-09IstanbulClayC. Langmo0 - 2——WON
2026-09-07IstanbulClayI. Marrero Curbelo1 - 2——WON
2026-09-03MallorcaHardA. Sanchez Quilez0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-02MallorcaHardE. Moller1 - 2——WON
2026-08-25US OpenHardN. Budkov Kjaer1 - 2——LOST
2026-08-06Grodzisk MazowieckiHardI. Marrero Curbelo2 - 1——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Philip Henning or Maks Kasnikowski?

Maks Kasnikowski is favourite at 1.74, which is a 56% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski?

Philip Henning is 2.18 and Maks Kasnikowski is 1.74, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.

What is the head-to-head between Philip Henning and Maks Kasnikowski?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Philip Henning vs Maks Kasnikowski?

Our model makes it Maks Kasnikowski to win at 1.72 (Lean confidence).

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