Carles Hernandez v Petr Nesterov
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONP. Nesterov is 5-5 over the last ten and 33-15 on clay this season. C. Hernandez is 6-4 over the last ten and 17-11 on clay this season.
The pick is P. Nesterov to win. We make it a 79% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.27 or bigger. At 1.20 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| C. Hernandez | P. Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| - | Ranking | 428 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| LWWLW | Last 5 | WWLWW |
| -0.1 | V the odds | +0.0 |
| 25-22 | Season | 52-22 |
| 17-11 | Clay 2026 | 33-15 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 4d | Days rest | 1d |
| 0 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Villena | C. HernandezvP. Nesterov | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
C. Hernandez — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Villena | Clay | P. Nesterov | 0 - 2 | 4.90 | 80% | LOST |
| 2026-10-02 | M15 Monastir 33 | Hard | L. G. Verwerft | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-10-01 | M15 Monastir 33 | Hard | S. Hamza Reguig | 2 - 0 | 1.56 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | M15 Monastir 33 | Hard | T. Nirundorn | 2 - 0 | 1.33 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | M15 Monastir 32 | Hard | D. Domingos | 2 - 0 | 1.28 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | M15 Monastir 32 | Hard | C. Schuetze | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-03 | M15 Madrid | Clay (Indoor) | E. Carrascosa Diaz | 1 - 0 RET | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | M15 Madrid | Clay (Indoor) | I. Miletich | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | M25 Oviedo | Clay | S. Perez Contri | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-26 | M25 Oviedo | Clay | R. Nijboer | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
P. Nesterov — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Villena | Clay | C. Hernandez | 0 - 2 | 1.21 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Villena | Clay | H. Barton | 1 - 2 | 2.38 | 60% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Villena | Clay | C. Chen | 1 - 2 | 1.07 | 89% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Porto | Clay | G. Marques | 2 - 1 | 1.46 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Porto | Clay | M. Topo | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Porto | Clay | G. Tabacco | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | C. Taberner | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - Qualification | Clay | Y. Milev | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-12 | M25 Muttenz | Clay | D. Sakellaridis | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-09 | Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria) | Clay | G. Piraino | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Carles Hernandez or Petr Nesterov?
Petr Nesterov is favourite at 1.21, which is a 80% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Carles Hernandez vs Petr Nesterov?
Carles Hernandez is 4.90 and Petr Nesterov is 1.21, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.
What is the head-to-head between Carles Hernandez and Petr Nesterov?
They have met 1 time and Petr Nesterov leads 1-0.
Who will win Carles Hernandez vs Petr Nesterov?
Our model makes it Petr Nesterov to win at 1.20 (Lean confidence).