Francesco Maestrelli v Oliver Tarvet
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTO. Tarvet is 9-1 over the last ten and 2-1 on clay this season. F. Maestrelli is 4-6 over the last ten and 4-9 on clay this season.
The pick is O. Tarvet to win 2-0. We make it a 49% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.05 or bigger. At 1.72 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| F. Maestrelli | O. Tarvet | |
|---|---|---|
| 112 | Ranking | - |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 9-1 |
| LLWWL | Last 5 | WWLWW |
| - | V the odds | +0.5 |
| 17-26 | Season | 24-6 |
| 4-9 | Clay 2026 | 2-1 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 15d | Days rest | 1d |
| 0 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | Villena | F. MaestrellivO. Tarvet | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
F. Maestrelli — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Villena | Clay | O. Tarvet | 1 - 2 | 3.87 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | St. Tropez | Hard | A. Guerrieri | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | S. Gueymard Wayenburg | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-17 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | Y. Ghazouani Durand | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Rennes | Hard (Indoor) | A. Nagel | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | Istanbul | Clay | M. Kasnikowski | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-09 | Istanbul | Clay | A. Ayeni | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Istanbul | Clay | J. P. Ficovich | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | T. Samuel | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Quebec City (Canada) - Qualification | Hard | A. Popyrin | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
O. Tarvet — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Villena | Clay | F. Maestrelli | 1 - 2 | 1.29 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Villena | Clay | D. Dedura | 0 - 2 | 1.27 | 73% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Villena | Clay | M. Erhard | 0 - 2 | 1.23 | 74% | WON |
| 2026-08-28 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | C. Broom | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | E. Hudd | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | O. Bonding | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | M. Pucinelli de Almeida | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-22 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | L. Poullain | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-21 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | A. Matusevich | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | C. Broom | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Francesco Maestrelli or Oliver Tarvet?
Oliver Tarvet is favourite at 1.29, which is a 75% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Francesco Maestrelli vs Oliver Tarvet?
Francesco Maestrelli is 3.87 and Oliver Tarvet is 1.29, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.
What is the head-to-head between Francesco Maestrelli and Oliver Tarvet?
They have met 1 time and Oliver Tarvet leads 1-0.
Who will win Francesco Maestrelli vs Oliver Tarvet?
Our model makes it Oliver Tarvet to win 2-0 at 1.72 (Lean confidence).