THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 07 OCTOBERMATCHES 343EVENTS 34LIVE 3ALERTS 171
ChallengerClayVillena2026-10-06 11:00

Hynek Barton v Toby Samuel

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
T. Samuel to win1.22
Price too short today - wait for 1.27 or bigger · our chance 79% · market 21/79, us 21/79

T. Samuel is 7-3 over the last ten and 5-5 on clay this season. H. Barton is 4-6 over the last ten and 24-19 on clay this season.

The pick is T. Samuel to win. We make it a 79% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.27 or bigger. At 1.22 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

H. BartonT. Samuel
-Ranking98
4-6Last 107-3
LWLWLLast 5LWWLW
-0.5V the odds-0.7
41-27Season44-17
24-19Clay 20265-5
2Last 7 days1
1dDays rest6d
1Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

H. Barton4.6121%
T. SamuelFAV1.2279%
Market says79% Samuel

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

H. Barton1
T. Samuel0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-07VillenaH. BartonvT. Samuel2 - 0

This season & this event

H. Barton
T. Samuel
42-27
25-19
Lost R32 to H. Grenier
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
44-18
5-6
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Hynek Barton
Czech Republic
Toby Samuel
United Kingdom
304
22
Czech Republic
48–28
0
18–11
30–17
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
98
24
United Kingdom
43–16
4
30–6
7–5
5–5

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

H. Barton — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06VillenaClayT. Samuel2 - 04.6179%WON
2026-10-05VillenaClayP. Nesterov1 - 21.6160%LOST
2026-10-04VillenaClayS. Latinovic2 - 01.0888%WON
2026-09-17SzczecinClayZ. Kolar0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-15SzczecinClayR. Brancaccio2 - 1——WON
2026-09-08TullnClayN. Hipfl2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-27AugsburgClayB. Sanchez Martinez2 - 0——LOST
2026-08-26AugsburgClayJ. M. La Serna1 - 2——WON
2026-08-24AugsburgClayC. Hemery0 - 2——WON
2026-08-18PragueClayC. H. Tseng2 - 0——LOST

T. Samuel — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06VillenaClayH. Barton2 - 01.2279%LOST
2026-09-30PortoClayJ. Kym1 - 21.4066%LOST
2026-09-28PortoClayM. McDonald2 - 0——WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsA. Andrade2 - 1——WON
2026-09-02US OpenHardJ. Lehecka3 - 0——LOST
2026-08-30US OpenHardT. Machac3 - 0——WON
2026-08-27US OpenHardC. Garin1 - 1 RET——WON
2026-08-26US OpenHardB. Harris2 - 1——WON
2026-08-24US OpenHardF. Maestrelli2 - 1——WON
2026-07-30VancouverHardJ. D. Hara Friend2 - 0——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Hynek Barton or Toby Samuel?

Toby Samuel is favourite at 1.22, which is a 79% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Hynek Barton vs Toby Samuel?

Hynek Barton is 4.61 and Toby Samuel is 1.22, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.

What is the head-to-head between Hynek Barton and Toby Samuel?

They have met 1 time and Hynek Barton leads 1-0.

Who will win Hynek Barton vs Toby Samuel?

Our model makes it Toby Samuel to win at 1.22 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event