Pablo Llamas Ruiz v Luca Nardi
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONP. Llamas Ruiz is 4-6 over the last ten and 21-6 on clay this season. L. Nardi is 4-6 over the last ten and 1-4 on clay this season. The head to head is P. Llamas Ruiz 1-1.
The pick is P. Llamas Ruiz to win. We make it a 62% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.61 or bigger. At 1.55 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| P. Llamas Ruiz | L. Nardi | |
|---|---|---|
| 139 | Ranking | 151 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| LWWLW | Last 5 | LLLWL |
| - | V the odds | - |
| 36-21 | Season | 14-18 |
| 21-6 | Clay 2026 | 1-4 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 26d | Days rest | 41d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| 26d out | Fitness | 41d out |
| Head to head 1-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Villena | P. Llamas RuizvL. Nardi | 2 - 0 |
| 2023-06-02 | Vicenza Challenger Men | P. Llamas RuizvL. Nardi | 2 - 0 |
| 2021-09-17 | M25 Madrid | L. NardivP. Llamas Ruiz | 2 - 1 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
P. Llamas Ruiz — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Villena | Clay | L. Nardi | 2 - 0 | 1.55 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-09 | Seville | Clay | R. Brancaccio | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-08 | Seville | Clay | K. Coppejans | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | V. Sachko | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | L. Harris | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | A. Bolt | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-21 | Cancun 2 | Hard | L. Harris | 1 - 0 RET | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Cancun 2 | Hard | F. Comesana | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-08-11 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Shevchenko | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-08-01 | Montreal | Hard | M. Giron | 2 - 1 | — | — | LOST |
L. Nardi — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Villena | Clay | P. Llamas Ruiz | 2 - 0 | 2.58 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | US Open | Hard | F. Cina | 0 - 1 RET | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-07-11 | Umag | clay | A. Guerrieri | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-06-24 | Wimbledon | Grass | O. Virtanen | 0 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-06-22 | Wimbledon | Grass | R. Noguchi | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-06-15 | Nottingham | Grass | R. Bertola | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-06-14 | Nottingham | Grass | G. Hussey | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-06-13 | Nottingham | Grass | O. Weightman | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-06-10 | Ilkley | Grass | J. Fearnley | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-06-04 | Perugia | Clay | R. Bertola | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Pablo Llamas Ruiz or Luca Nardi?
Pablo Llamas Ruiz is favourite at 1.55, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi?
Pablo Llamas Ruiz is 1.55 and Luca Nardi is 2.58, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.
What is the head-to-head between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Luca Nardi?
They have met 3 times and Pablo Llamas Ruiz leads 2-1.
Who will win Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Luca Nardi?
Our model makes it Pablo Llamas Ruiz to win at 1.55 (Lean confidence).