THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 06 OCTOBERMATCHES 211EVENTS 34LIVE 5ALERTS 88
ChallengerClayVillena2026-10-05 11:00

Felix Balshaw v Josef Schwaerzler Joel

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
F. Balshaw to win1.87
Price too short today - wait for 1.96 or bigger · our chance 51% · market 52/48, us 51/49

F. Balshaw is 7-3 over the last ten and 29-8 on clay this season. J. J. Schwaerzler is 5-5 over the last ten and 16-14 on clay this season. J. J. Schwaerzler has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is F. Balshaw to win. We make it a 51% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.96 or bigger. At 1.87 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

F. BalshawJ. J. Schwaerzler
252Ranking254
7-3Last 105-5
LWWLWLast 5LWWWL
+0.1V the odds+0.8
45-18Season33-26
29-8Clay 202616-14
3Last 7 days4
3dDays rest2d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

F. BalshawFAV1.8752%
J. J. Schwaerzler1.9948%
Market says52% Balshaw

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

F. Balshaw
J. J. Schwaerzler
45-19
29-9
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
34-26
17-14
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Felix Balshaw
France
Josef Joel Schwaerzler
Austria
252
20
France
43–16
4
14–8
29–8
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
254
20
Austria
2–1
0
2–1
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

F. Balshaw — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05VillenaClayJ. J. Schwaerzler1 - 21.8752%LOST
2026-10-02Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)H. Bernet2 - 12.0854%LOST
2026-10-01Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)N. Budkov Kjaer2 - 12.4361%WON
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)B. Harris1 - 2——WON
2026-09-08CassisHardN. Budkov Kjaer2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-06MallorcaHardI. Montes-De La Torre1 - 2——WON
2026-09-05MallorcaHardM. Lajal0 - 2——WON
2026-09-04MallorcaHardB. Harris1 - 2——WON
2026-09-03MallorcaHardA. Muller2 - 0——WON
2026-09-01MallorcaHardA. Holmgren0 - 2——WON

J. J. Schwaerzler — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05VillenaClayF. Balshaw1 - 21.9952%WON
2026-10-03Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)S. Gueymard Wayenburg0 - 22.1257%LOST
2026-10-02Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)L. Poullain0 - 21.6160%WON
2026-10-01Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)H. Wendelken2 - 02.1656%WON
2026-09-29Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)A. Barroso Campos0 - 21.2176%WON
2026-09-21Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayM. Chazal2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-03MallorcaHardL. Potenza2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-01MallorcaHardM. Basing1 - 2——WON
2026-08-26US OpenHardA. Guerrieri2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-24US OpenHardG. Heide2 - 1——WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Felix Balshaw or Josef Schwaerzler Joel?

Felix Balshaw is favourite at 1.87, which is a 52% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Felix Balshaw vs Josef Schwaerzler Joel?

Felix Balshaw is 1.87 and Josef Schwaerzler Joel is 1.99, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.

Who will win Felix Balshaw vs Josef Schwaerzler Joel?

Our model makes it Felix Balshaw to win at 1.87 (Lean confidence).

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