THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 06 OCTOBERMATCHES 211EVENTS 34LIVE 5ALERTS 88
ChallengerClayVillena2026-10-05 11:00

Moez Echargui v Raul Brancaccio

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
R. Brancaccio to win3.25
Worth backing at 2.85 or bigger · our chance 35% · market 71/29, us 65/35

R. Brancaccio is 4-6 over the last ten and 24-22 on clay this season. M. Echargui is 6-4 over the last ten and 3-10 on clay this season. M. Echargui took a medical timeout on 2026-09-22. The head to head is M. Echargui 1-0.

The pick is R. Brancaccio to win. We make it a 35% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.85 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. EcharguiR. Brancaccio
215Ranking225
6-4Last 104-6
LWLWWLast 5LWLLW
-0.3V the odds-
18-32Season32-31
3-10Clay 202624-22
2Last 7 days0
4dDays rest12d
0Wins here0
MTOFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. EcharguiFAV1.3071%
R. Brancaccio3.2429%
Market says71% Echargui

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Echargui2
R. Brancaccio0
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-05VillenaM. EcharguivR. Brancaccio2 - 0
2025-09-30VillenaM. EcharguivR. Brancaccio2 - 0

This season & this event

M. Echargui
R. Brancaccio
19-32
4-10
Lost R16 to H. Grenier
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
32-32
24-23
Lost R32 to M. Echargui
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Moez Echargui
Tunisia
Raul Brancaccio
Italy
215
33
Tunisia
14–30
0
9–17
3–10
2–2
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
225
29
Italy
31–29
1
7–6
24–22
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Echargui — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05VillenaClayR. Brancaccio2 - 01.3071%WON
2026-10-01PortoClayE. Butvilas2 - 02.9167%LOST
2026-09-28PortoClayD. Dzumhur2 - 0——WON
2026-09-22St. TropezHardD. Masur1 - 2——LOST
2026-09-21St. TropezHardK. Poling2 - 0——WON
2026-09-20St. TropezHardL. Potenza2 - 1——WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group II- PreliminaryM. Murtaza2 - 0——WON
2026-09-11CassisHardN. Budkov Kjaer2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-09CassisHardB. Harris2 - 1——WON
2026-09-07CassisHardL. Poullain2 - 0——WON

R. Brancaccio — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05VillenaClayM. Echargui2 - 03.2471%LOST
2026-09-23Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayM. Petkovic0 - 2——LOST
2026-09-21Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayF. Romano2 - 0——WON
2026-09-15SzczecinClayH. Barton2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-11SevilleClayJ. Munar2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-09SevilleClayP. Llamas Ruiz2 - 1——WON
2026-09-08SevilleClayJ. Forejtek1 - 2——WON
2026-09-01ComoClayD. Ajdukovic0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-24US OpenHardT. Seyboth Wild0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-12HamburgClayM. Moeller1 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Moez Echargui or Raul Brancaccio?

Moez Echargui is favourite at 1.30, which is a 71% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Moez Echargui vs Raul Brancaccio?

Moez Echargui is 1.30 and Raul Brancaccio is 3.24, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.

What is the head-to-head between Moez Echargui and Raul Brancaccio?

They have met 2 times and Moez Echargui leads 2-0.

Who will win Moez Echargui vs Raul Brancaccio?

Our model makes it Raul Brancaccio to win at 3.25 (Solid confidence).

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