THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 06 OCTOBERMATCHES 211EVENTS 34LIVE 5ALERTS 88
ChallengerClayVillena2026-10-05 10:00

Dominic Stricker v Marko Topo

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

StrongLOST
M. Topo to win2.40
Worth backing at 2.21 or bigger · our chance 45% · market 62/38, us 55/45

M. Topo is 8-2 over the last ten and 18-20 on clay this season. D. Stricker is 7-3 over the last ten and 20-10 on clay this season. The head to head is D. Stricker 0-1.

The pick is M. Topo to win. We make it a 45% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.21 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

D. StrickerM. Topo
-Ranking345
7-3Last 108-2
WLWLLLast 5WLWWW
-0.2V the odds+0.7
38-15Season21-23
20-10Clay 202618-20
3Last 7 days2
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
0-1

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

D. StrickerFAV1.5062%
M. Topo2.4238%
Market says62% Stricker

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

D. Stricker1
M. Topo1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-05VillenaD. StrickervM. Topo2 - 0
2025-09-02TullnD. StrickervM. Topo0 - 2

This season & this event

D. Stricker
M. Topo
39-15
21-10
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
21-24
18-21
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Dominic Stricker
Switzerland
Marko Topo
Germany
264
24
Switzerland
36–14
3
16–3
20–10
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
345
23
Germany
14–22
0
3–2
11–20
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. Stricker — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05VillenaClayM. Topo2 - 01.5062%WON
2026-10-04VillenaClayE. Carrascosa Diaz2 - 01.0295%WON
2026-10-01Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)H. Bernet2 - 01.5860%LOST
2026-09-28Mouilleron-Le-CaptifHard (Indoor)L. Broady1 - 21.4267%WON
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group I- PreliminaryJ. Fonseca2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-25AugsburgClayM. Krumich0 - 2——LOST
2026-08-22Sion (Switzerland)ClayB. Hassan1 - 2——WON
2026-08-21Sion (Switzerland)ClayT. Compagnucci2 - 0——WON
2026-08-20Sion (Switzerland)ClayM. Brunold2 - 0——WON
2026-08-19Sion (Switzerland)ClayL. Ratti2 - 0——WON

M. Topo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05VillenaClayD. Stricker2 - 02.4262%LOST
2026-10-04VillenaClayN. Visker0 - 21.6655%WON
2026-09-28PortoClayP. Nesterov2 - 0——LOST
2026-09-27PortoClayM. Gonzalez Fernandez1 - 21.2673%WON
2026-09-20M25 ZlatiborClayK. Juhas2 - 0——WON
2026-09-19M25 ZlatiborClayA. Aubriot2 - 0——WON
2026-09-18M25 ZlatiborClayN. Belozertsev2 - 1——WON
2026-09-18M25 ZlatiborClayS. Popovic2 - 0——WON
2026-09-17M25 ZlatiborClayC. Warik2 - 1——WON
2026-09-09TullnClayV. Sachko0 - 2——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Dominic Stricker or Marko Topo?

Dominic Stricker is favourite at 1.50, which is a 62% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Dominic Stricker vs Marko Topo?

Dominic Stricker is 1.50 and Marko Topo is 2.42, the prices we recorded for the Villena match.

What is the head-to-head between Dominic Stricker and Marko Topo?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Dominic Stricker vs Marko Topo?

Our model makes it Marko Topo to win at 2.40 (Strong confidence).

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