Nikoloz Basilashvili v Adrian Mannarino
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidA. Mannarino is 7-3 over the last ten and 18-22 on hard this season. N. Basilashvili is 8-2 over the last ten and 18-16 on hard this season. N. Basilashvili retired from a match in the last month. N. Basilashvili has played 4 matches in seven days. The head to head is N. Basilashvili 0-2.
The pick is A. Mannarino to win. We make it a 50% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.02 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| N. Basilashvili | A. Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| 121 | Ranking | 83 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| WWWWL | Last 5 | WWLWW |
| +3.0 | V the odds | +2.6 |
| 30-30 | Season | 23-32 |
| 18-16 | Hard 2026 | 18-22 |
| 4 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 2d |
| 4 | Wins here | 2 |
| retired | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 0-2 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-11 | Rennes Challenger Men | A. MannarinovN. Basilashvili | 7-6 3-6 6-3 |
| 2021-11-01 | Paris | A. MannarinovN. Basilashvili | 6-2 6-4 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
N. Basilashvili — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | F. Diaz Acosta | 1.43 | 68% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-4 BasilashviliAcostaPoints won61%39%Serve points won76%53%Return points won47%24%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved1 of 20 of 4Aces146Double faults30 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | M. Cilic | 1.67 | 58% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 7-5 BasilashviliCilicPoints won55%45%Serve points won65%54%Return points won46%35%Games held8 of 105 of 10Break points saved3 of 54 of 9Aces138Double faults35 | |||||||
| 2026-10-18 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | A. Walton | 1.72 | 56% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-6 BasilashviliWaltonPoints won53%47%Serve points won76%64%Return points won36%24%Games held11 of 1110 of 11Break points saved0 of 011 of 12Aces1115Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-17 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | T. Daniel | 1.65 | 58% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 7-5 BasilashviliDanielPoints won59%41%Serve points won71%53%Return points won47%29%Games held9 of 106 of 10Break points saved1 of 22 of 6Aces74Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Mannarino | RET | 1.97 | 51% | LOST |
Games in each set3-6 2-2 BasilashviliMannarinoPoints won41%59%Serve points won65%85%Return points won15%35%Games held5 of 67 of 7Break points saved0 of 10 of 0Aces83Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-10-06 | Shanghai | Hard | L. Draxl | 1.68 | 57% | WON | |
Games in each set5-7 7-5 6-4 BasilashviliDraxlPoints won52%48%Serve points won67%64%Return points won36%33%Games held15 of 1714 of 17Break points saved4 of 65 of 8Aces1112Double faults31 | |||||||
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | A. Ilagan | 1.42 | 68% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-7 7-5 BasilashviliIlaganPoints won50%50%Serve points won62%60%Return points won40%38%Games held14 of 1711 of 16Break points saved4 of 77 of 12Aces119Double faults73 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 4-6 3-6 BasilashviliFokinaPoints won49%51%Serve points won71%66%Return points won34%29%Games held11 of 1413 of 15Break points saved2 of 57 of 9Aces136Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-09-27 | Chengdu | Hard | J. Brooksby | 2.06 | 53% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-6 BasilashviliBrooksbyPoints won54%46%Serve points won70%60%Return points won40%30%Games held10 of 119 of 11Break points saved0 of 15 of 7Aces93Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-09-25 | Chengdu | Hard | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2.68 | 64% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-5 BasilashviliZandschulpPoints won57%43%Serve points won79%62%Return points won38%21%Games held11 of 119 of 11Break points saved0 of 03 of 5Aces87Double faults25 | |||||||
A. Mannarino — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | A. Rublev | 3.78 | 74% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 3-6 6-3 MannarinoRublevPoints won53%47%Serve points won68%63%Return points won37%32%Games held13 of 1412 of 14Break points saved5 of 67 of 9Aces613Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | A. Vukic | 1.61 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 4-6 6-3 MannarinoVukicPoints won54%46%Serve points won75%64%Return points won36%25%Games held15 of 1614 of 15Break points saved0 of 17 of 8Aces138Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | K. Khachanov | 3.95 | 75% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 4-6 MannarinoKhachanovPoints won40%60%Serve points won55%76%Return points won24%45%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved0 of 40 of 1Aces310Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | F. Cobolli | 2.65 | 63% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 4-6 6-3 MannarinoCobolliPoints won53%47%Serve points won62%58%Return points won42%38%Games held11 of 138 of 13Break points saved7 of 95 of 10Aces510Double faults02 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Shanghai | Hard | N. Basilashvili | RET | 1.90 | 51% | WON |
Games in each set6-3 2-2 MannarinoBasilashviliPoints won59%41%Serve points won85%65%Return points won35%15%Games held7 of 75 of 6Break points saved0 of 00 of 1Aces38Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-09-29 | Beijing | Hard | P. Carreno-Busta | 2.44 | 61% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 4-6 MannarinoCarreno-BustaPoints won43%57%Serve points won64%75%Return points won25%36%Games held6 of 99 of 10Break points saved4 of 73 of 4Aces51Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Beijing | Hard | M. Kecmanovic | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 3-6 7-6 MannarinoKecmanovicPoints won51%49%Serve points won62%58%Return points won42%38%Games held11 of 1613 of 17Break points saved5 of 107 of 11Aces87Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-09-27 | Chengdu | Hard | D. Shapovalov | 3.10 | 69% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-6 3-6 2-6 MannarinoShapovalovPoints won48%52%Serve points won68%68%Return points won32%32%Games held11 of 1514 of 14Break points saved4 of 84 of 4Aces614Double faults19 | |||||||
| 2026-09-25 | Chengdu | Hard | A. Tabilo | 2.50 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 MannarinoTabiloPoints won52%48%Serve points won71%68%Return points won32%29%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved3 of 31 of 3Aces106Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-09-23 | Chengdu | Hard | J. Shang | 2.88 | 66% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-2 MannarinoShangPoints won58%42%Serve points won82%60%Return points won40%18%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved0 of 08 of 10Aces88Double faults01 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Nikoloz Basilashvili or Adrian Mannarino?
Nikoloz Basilashvili is favourite at 1.66, which is a 57% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino?
Nikoloz Basilashvili is 1.66 and Adrian Mannarino is 2.20, the prices we recorded for the Almaty match.
What is the head-to-head between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Adrian Mannarino?
They have met 2 times and Adrian Mannarino leads 2-0.
Who will win Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino?
Our model makes it Adrian Mannarino to win at 2.20 (Solid confidence).