Daniil Medvedev v Terence Atmane
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanD. Medvedev is 9-1 over the last ten and 37-10 on hard this season. T. Atmane is 5-5 over the last ten and 18-18 on hard this season. D. Medvedev took a medical timeout on 2026-10-12. T. Atmane took a medical timeout on 2026-10-20. T. Atmane retired from a match in the last month. The head to head is D. Medvedev 1-0.
The pick is D. Medvedev to win 2-0. We make it a 53% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.90 or bigger. At 1.66 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| D. Medvedev | T. Atmane | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ranking | 99 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 | 5-5 |
| WLWWW | Last 5 | WWLLW |
| +1.5 | V the odds | -1.3 |
| 46-17 | Season | 21-27 |
| 37-10 | Hard 2026 | 18-18 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 2d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 2 |
| MTODefending title | Fitness | MTOretired |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Halle | T. AtmanevD. Medvedev | 4-6 4-6 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
D. Medvedev — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | S. Shimabukuro | 1.06 | 91% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-1 MedvedevShimabukuroPoints won66%34%Serve points won79%46%Return points won54%21%Games held7 of 73 of 8Break points saved3 of 35 of 10Aces71Double faults14 | |||||||
| 2026-10-17 | Shanghai | Hard | R. Jodar | 1.55 | 63% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 4-6 MedvedevJodarPoints won46%54%Serve points won54%60%Return points won40%46%Games held5 of 98 of 10Break points saved3 of 74 of 6Aces36Double faults42 | |||||||
| 2026-10-16 | Shanghai | Hard | T. Paul | 1.47 | 66% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 1-6 6-3 MedvedevPaulPoints won52%48%Serve points won60%57%Return points won43%40%Games held9 of 129 of 13Break points saved11 of 148 of 12Aces167Double faults81 | |||||||
| 2026-10-14 | Shanghai | Hard | S. Tsitsipas | 1.45 | 67% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 7-5 MedvedevTsitsipasPoints won54%46%Serve points won73%63%Return points won37%27%Games held11 of 119 of 11Break points saved0 of 05 of 7Aces84Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Shanghai | Hard | D. Svrcina | 1.13 | 86% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-3 MedvedevSvrcinaPoints won56%44%Serve points won64%50%Return points won50%36%Games held7 of 84 of 9Break points saved3 of 44 of 9Aces62Double faults56 | |||||||
| 2026-10-10 | Shanghai | Hard | J-L. Struff | 1.14 | 85% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-4 6-3 MedvedevStruffPoints won55%45%Serve points won72%62%Return points won38%28%Games held13 of 1511 of 14Break points saved4 of 63 of 6Aces217Double faults51 | |||||||
| 2026-10-04 | Beijing | Hard | F. Cerundolo | 1.42 | 69% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-3 MedvedevCerundoloPoints won56%44%Serve points won76%59%Return points won41%24%Games held10 of 118 of 10Break points saved1 of 27 of 9Aces100Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-10-03 | Beijing | Hard | J-L. Struff | 1.17 | 83% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-3 MedvedevStruffPoints won55%45%Serve points won74%58%Return points won42%26%Games held9 of 97 of 10Break points saved2 of 26 of 9Aces106Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-01 | Beijing | Hard | P. Carreno-Busta | 1.26 | 77% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 MedvedevCarreno-BustaPoints won60%40%Serve points won76%54%Return points won46%24%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved3 of 33 of 6Aces121Double faults21 | |||||||
| 2026-09-29 | Hangzhou | Hard | A. Rublev | 1.50 | 65% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 6-4 MedvedevRublevPoints won53%47%Serve points won72%67%Return points won33%28%Games held11 of 119 of 11Break points saved2 of 25 of 7Aces234Double faults21 | |||||||
T. Atmane — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | M. Bellucci | 1.99 | 51% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 7-6 7-6 AtmaneBellucciPoints won49%51%Serve points won69%73%Return points won27%31%Games held16 of 1816 of 18Break points saved1 of 30 of 2Aces710Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Almaty | Hard (Indoor) | R. Hijikata | 2.06 | 53% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-2 AtmaneHijikataPoints won56%44%Serve points won79%66%Return points won34%21%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved1 of 12 of 4Aces93Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-05 | Shanghai | Hard | B. Tomic | RET | 1.35 | 71% | LOST |
Games in each set3-6 6-4 3-5 AtmaneTomicPoints won46%54%Serve points won56%68%Return points won32%44%Games held10 of 1411 of 13Break points saved7 of 112 of 4Aces193Double faults60 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Jingshan | Hard | E. Ymer | RET | 1.26 | 76% | LOST |
Games in each set6-4 5-7 5-5 AtmaneYmerPoints won48%52%Serve points won67%71%Return points won29%33%Games held14 of 1614 of 16Break points saved6 of 85 of 7Aces124Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-09-29 | Jingshan | Hard | E. Aguiard | 1.11 | 85% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-4 AtmaneAguiardPoints won54%46%Serve points won75%68%Return points won32%25%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved1 of 11 of 3Aces65Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Jingshan | Hard | D. Palan | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-4 AtmanePalanPoints won61%39%Serve points won84%58%Return points won42%16%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved0 of 04 of 7Aces43Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-09-23 | Hangzhou | Hard | J. Faria | 1.75 | 55% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-3 6-7 4-6 AtmaneFariaPoints won49%51%Serve points won70%76%Return points won24%30%Games held14 of 1613 of 15Break points saved5 of 72 of 4Aces910Double faults33 | |||||||
| 2026-08-30 | US Open | Hard | J. Munar | 1.51 | 64% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-6 6-3 1-6 6-7 5-7 AtmaneMunarPoints won48%52%Serve points won61%69%Return points won31%39%Games held20 of 2622 of 26Break points saved8 of 142 of 6Aces712Double faults104 | |||||||
| 2026-08-18 | Cincinnati | Hard | A. Zverev | 5.69 | 83% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 6-7 AtmaneZverevPoints won48%52%Serve points won73%77%Return points won23%27%Games held11 of 1211 of 12Break points saved1 of 21 of 2Aces15Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-08-15 | Cincinnati | Hard | T. M. Etcheverry | 1.54 | 63% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-6 AtmaneEtcheverryPoints won54%46%Serve points won75%76%Return points won24%25%Games held11 of 119 of 10Break points saved4 of 40 of 1Aces106Double faults30 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Daniil Medvedev or Terence Atmane?
Daniil Medvedev is favourite at 1.22, which is a 77% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmane?
Daniil Medvedev is 1.22 and Terence Atmane is 4.00, the prices we recorded for the Almaty match.
What is the head-to-head between Daniil Medvedev and Terence Atmane?
They have met 1 time and Daniil Medvedev leads 1-0.
Who will win Daniil Medvedev vs Terence Atmane?
Our model makes it Daniil Medvedev to win 2-0 at 1.66 (Lean confidence).