THE TENNIS TRADER
MONDAY 28 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 149EVENTS 12LIVE 2ALERTS 24
ChallengerClayPorto2026-09-27 16:30

Michael Geerts v Vladyslav Orlov

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidWON
M. Geerts to win1.44
Worth backing at 1.44 or bigger · our chance 70% · market 64/36, us 70/31

M. Geerts is 5-5 over the last ten and 4-4 on clay this season. V. Orlov is 5-5 over the last ten and 30-12 on clay this season.

The pick is M. Geerts to win. We make it a 70% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.44 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. GeertsV. Orlov
305Ranking498
5-5Last 105-5
LLLWWLast 5LLWWL
+0.6V the odds-2.2
18-19Season36-22
4-4Clay 202630-12
1Last 7 days0
6dDays rest18d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
-

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. GeertsFAV1.3668%
V. Orlov2.8932%
Market says68% Geerts

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Geerts1
V. Orlov0
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-27PortoM. GeertsvV. Orlov2 - 0

This season & this event

M. Geerts
V. Orlov
20-19
6-4
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
36-23
30-13
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Michael Geerts
Belgium
Vladyslav Orlov
Ukraine
305
31
Belgium
13–11
1
12–11
1–0
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
498
31
Ukraine
0–1
0
0–1
—
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Geerts — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-28PortoClayJ. Domingues2 - 11.5560%WON
2026-09-27PortoClayV. Orlov2 - 01.3668%WON
2026-09-21Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - QualificationClayC. Sanchez Jover0 - 22.8067%LOST
2026-08-25Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - QualificationHardJ. D. Hara Friend2 - 02.7966%LOST
2026-08-20Roehampton (United Kingdom)HardL. Poullain1 - 22.1254%LOST
2026-08-19Roehampton (United Kingdom)HardR. Albot2 - 11.6756%WON
2026-08-18Roehampton (United Kingdom)HardB. Blaydes2 - 01.6160%WON
2026-08-15M25 KoksijdeClayL. G. Verwerft2 - 1——LOST
2026-08-14M25 KoksijdeClayG. Blancaneaux0 - 22.3561%WON
2026-08-13M25 KoksijdeClayN. Robert0 - 21.2378%WON

V. Orlov — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-27PortoClayM. Geerts2 - 02.8968%LOST
2026-09-09M25 PozzuoliHardD. Eichenseher1 - 21.3868%LOST
2026-08-28M25 PoznanClayN. Mashtakov1 - 21.8352%LOST
2026-08-27M25 PoznanClayB. Zgola2 - 01.0790%WON
2026-08-26M25 PoznanClayD. Kellovsky2 - 01.2477%WON
2026-08-19M15 MistelbachClayD. Wallechner0 - 0 RET1.0193%LOST
2026-08-08M15 Bielsko BialaClayM. Zielinski0 - 21.4964%LOST
2026-08-07M15 Bielsko BialaClayW. Marek2 - 01.3770%WON
2026-08-06M15 Bielsko BialaClayN. Guttau2 - 11.4466%WON
2026-08-05M15 Bielsko BialaClayJ. Kusy2 - 01.0889%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Michael Geerts or Vladyslav Orlov?

Michael Geerts is favourite at 1.36, which is a 68% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Michael Geerts vs Vladyslav Orlov?

Michael Geerts is 1.36 and Vladyslav Orlov is 2.89, the prices we recorded for the Porto match.

What is the head-to-head between Michael Geerts and Vladyslav Orlov?

They have met 1 time and Michael Geerts leads 1-0.

Who will win Michael Geerts vs Vladyslav Orlov?

Our model makes it Michael Geerts to win at 1.44 (Solid confidence).

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