ChallengerHardBrest2026-10-29 10:00

Matisse Bobichon v Otto Virtanen

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Solid

M. Bobichon to win a set (set handicap +1.5)

Worth backing at 2.00 or bigger · our chance 50% · market 16/84, us 21/79

M. Bobichon is 8-2 over the last ten and 27-21 on hard this season. O. Virtanen is 5-5 over the last ten and 13-11 on hard this season.

The pick is M. Bobichon to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 50% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.00 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. Bobichon		O. Virtanen
709	Ranking	107
8-2	Last 10	5-5
WWWLW	Last 5	WLLWL
+2.6	V the odds	-1.2
27-21	Season	34-25
27-21	Hard 2026	13-11
3	Last 7 days	1
2d	Days rest	2d
3	Wins here	1
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. Bobichon5.9016%

O. VirtanenFAV1.1584%

Market says84% Virtanen

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

M. BobichonWWWLW

O. VirtanenWLLWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

M. Bobichon

O. Virtanen

27-21

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

34-25

13-11

Lost R32 to C. Tabur

Champion

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Matisse Bobichon

France

Otto Virtanen

Finland

709

France

1–7

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

107

Finland

32–23

11–8

7–10

11–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Bobichon — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-27	Brest	Hard	M. Geerts	2.12	54%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 BobichonGeertsPoints won54%46%Serve points won66%59%Return points won41%34%Games held10 of 118 of 10Break points saved5 of 62 of 4Aces123Double faults44
2026-10-26	Brest	Hard	L. Poullain	2.87	67%	WON
Games in each set6-3 1-6 7-6 BobichonPoullainPoints won48%52%Serve points won67%73%Return points won27%33%Games held12 of 1413 of 14Break points saved6 of 82 of 3Aces45Double faults42
2026-10-25	Brest	Hard	Y. Kelm	1.53	63%	WON
Games in each set3-6 6-3 7-5 BobichonKelmPoints won51%49%Serve points won65%63%Return points won37%35%Games held13 of 1512 of 15Break points saved8 of 103 of 6Aces141Double faults11
2026-10-15	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	F. Balshaw	4.43	78%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 BobichonBalshawPoints won44%56%Serve points won63%72%Return points won28%37%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved1 of 35 of 5Aces29Double faults35
2026-10-12	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	B. Harris	3.26	70%	WON
Games in each set7-5 7-6 BobichonHarrisPoints won53%47%Serve points won67%60%Return points won40%33%Games held10 of 129 of 12Break points saved6 of 84 of 7Aces92Double faults53
2026-10-11	M15 Pontevedra	Hard	H. S. Callejon	2.21	57%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 6-1 1-6 BobichonCallejonPoints won38%62%Serve points won47%70%Return points won30%53%Games held6 of 109 of 11Break points saved4 of 83 of 4
2026-10-10	M15 Pontevedra	Hard	A. Garcia	1.52	63%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2
2026-10-09	M15 Pontevedra	Hard	D. Sarksian	1.25	76%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-4 BobichonSarksianPoints won53%47%Serve points won57%50%Return points won50%43%Games held7 of 115 of 11Break points saved8 of 127 of 13
2026-10-08	M15 Pontevedra	Hard	L. Sheyngezikht	1.21	79%	WON
Games in each set6-0 6-0 BobichonSheyngezikhtPoints won66%34%Serve points won67%35%Return points won65%33%Games held6 of 60 of 6Break points saved2 of 25 of 11
2026-10-07	M15 Pontevedra	Hard	C. Giraldi	1.09	88%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-0 BobichonGiraldiPoints won58%42%Serve points won65%50%Return points won50%35%Games held8 of 94 of 9Break points saved5 of 62 of 7

O. Virtanen — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-27	Brest	Hard	M. Martineau	1.43	68%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-4 VirtanenMartineauPoints won54%46%Serve points won77%69%Return points won31%23%Games held10 of 119 of 11Break points saved0 of 10 of 2Aces145Double faults00
2026-10-18	Lyon (France) - Qualification	Hard (Indoor)	V. Sachko	1.43	67%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 VirtanenSachkoPoints won45%55%Serve points won56%68%Return points won32%44%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved5 of 86 of 7Aces96Double faults21
2026-10-15	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	D. Stricker	1.73	56%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 7-5 3-6 VirtanenStrickerPoints won49%51%Serve points won72%74%Return points won26%28%Games held14 of 1616 of 17Break points saved4 of 60 of 1Aces179Double faults22
2026-10-12	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	R. Bertola	1.36	71%	WON
Games in each set7-5 7-5 VirtanenBertolaPoints won55%45%Serve points won71%61%Return points won39%29%Games held11 of 129 of 12Break points saved4 of 56 of 9Aces173Double faults43
2026-09-28	Porto	Clay	T. Pereira	1.32	73%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 6-2 3-6 VirtanenPereiraPoints won49%51%Serve points won59%59%Return points won41%41%Games held9 of 1310 of 14Break points saved8 of 128 of 12Aces32Double faults82
2026-09-19	ATP Davis Cup - World Group I	- Preliminary	V. Vacherot	2.37	59%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-4 4-6 VirtanenVacherotPoints won49%51%Serve points won62%66%Return points won34%38%Games held13 of 1613 of 16Break points saved10 of 1310 of 13Aces1414Double faults55
2026-09-18	ATP Davis Cup - World Group I	- Preliminary	L. Catarina	1.01	94%	WON
Games in each set6-0 6-3 VirtanenCatarinaPoints won66%34%Serve points won82%47%Return points won53%18%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved2 of 23 of 7Aces102Double faults41
2026-08-31	US Open	Hard	A. Rublev	5.82	83%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 7-6 0-6 2-6 6-7 VirtanenRublevPoints won44%56%Serve points won59%74%Return points won26%41%Games held18 of 2523 of 25Break points saved17 of 246 of 8Aces1920Double faults73
2026-08-26	US Open	Hard	J. Pinnington Jones	1.50	64%	WON
Games in each set2-6 7-6 6-3 VirtanenJonesPoints won49%51%Serve points won60%62%Return points won38%40%Games held11 of 1511 of 14Break points saved3 of 74 of 7Aces74Double faults87
2026-08-24	US Open	Hard	U. Blanchet	1.43	67%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 VirtanenBlanchetPoints won53%47%Serve points won67%66%Return points won34%33%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved6 of 62 of 4Aces151Double faults111

Common questions

Who is favourite, Matisse Bobichon or Otto Virtanen?

Otto Virtanen is favourite at 1.15, which is a 84% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Matisse Bobichon vs Otto Virtanen?

Matisse Bobichon is 5.90 and Otto Virtanen is 1.15, the prices we recorded for the Brest match.

Who will win Matisse Bobichon vs Otto Virtanen?

Our model makes it Matisse Bobichon to win a set (Solid confidence).

Also at this event

Maestrelli v Diallo Gojo v Prizmic Damm v Blanchet Djere v Travaglia