Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida v Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONM. Pucinelli de Almeida is 4-6 over the last ten and 26-11 on clay this season. P. A. Saraiva Dos Santos is 8-2 over the last ten and 28-20 on clay this season. The head to head is M. Pucinelli de Almeida 1-0.
The pick is M. Pucinelli de Almeida to win. We make it a 78% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.29 or bigger. At 1.17 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Pucinelli de Almeida | P. A. Saraiva Dos Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| 260 | Ranking | - |
| 4-6 | Last 10 | 8-2 |
| LLLWW | Last 5 | WWWWW |
| -0.1 | V the odds | +0.8 |
| 32-18 | Season | 36-23 |
| 26-11 | Clay 2026 | 28-20 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 8d | Days rest | 1d |
| 0 | Wins here | 2 |
| Clear | Fitness | Defending final |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Recent form
Last five completed matches, most recent first.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | M. Pucinelli de AlmeidavP. A. Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Piracicaba | P. A. Saraiva Dos SantosvM. Pucinelli de Almeida | 1 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Pucinelli de Almeida — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | P. A. Saraiva Dos Santos | 2 - 1 | 1.16 | 80% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | H. Dellien | 1 - 2 | 2.15 | 57% | LOST |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group I | - Preliminary | R. Bertola | 1 - 2 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | Mallorca | Hard | J. D. Hara Friend | 0 - 2 | 2.03 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-09-01 | Mallorca | Hard | M. Gengel | 2 - 0 | 1.36 | 70% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | Mallorca | Hard | C. Langmo | 2 - 0 | 1.33 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-08-25 | Roehampton 2 (United Kingdom) - Qualification | Hard | O. Tarvet | 0 - 2 | 3.83 | 75% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | O. Tarvet | 1 - 2 | 3.61 | 74% | LOST |
| 2026-08-18 | Roehampton (United Kingdom) | Hard | P. Makk | 2 - 0 | 1.96 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-08-15 | Hamburg | Clay | J. Kumstat | 1 - 2 | 2.63 | 63% | LOST |
P. A. Saraiva Dos Santos — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | M. Pucinelli de Almeida | 2 - 1 | 4.50 | 80% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | Clay | G. Schenekenberg | 2 - 0 | 1.03 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Curitiba | Clay | A. Scheidt | 2 - 0 | 1.04 | 90% | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | M15 Belem | Hard | N. Zanellato | 2 - 0 | 1.34 | 71% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | M15 Belem | Hard | L. E. de Carvalho Damazio | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | M15 Belem | Hard | G. Schenekenberg | 2 - 0 | 1.07 | 85% | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | M15 Belem | Hard | H. Ortenblad Nogueira | 2 - 0 | 1.02 | 92% | WON |
| 2026-09-16 | M15 Belem | Hard | L. Bojicic Ono | 2 - 1 | 1.02 | 92% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - Qualification | Hard | A. Martin | 1 - 2 | 4.04 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - Qualification | Hard | A. Hernandez | 0 - 2 | 2.27 | 58% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida or Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos?
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida is favourite at 1.16, which is a 80% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos?
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida is 1.16 and Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos is 4.50, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.
What is the head-to-head between Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida and Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos?
They have met 2 times and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida leads 2-0.
Who will win Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos?
Our model makes it Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida to win at 1.17 (Lean confidence).