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ChallengerClayCuritiba · 1/16-finals2026-09-29 15:00

Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao v Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
J. Reis Da Silva to win 2-01.73
Price too short today - wait for 2.04 or bigger · our chance 49% · market 75/25, us 79/21

J. Reis Da Silva is 3-7 over the last ten and 14-19 on clay this season. M. A. Dellien Velasco is 3-7 over the last ten and 16-19 on clay this season. The head to head is J. Reis Da Silva 1-2.

The pick is J. Reis Da Silva to win 2-0. We make it a 49% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.04 or bigger. At 1.73 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. Reis Da SilvaM. A. Dellien Velasco
-Ranking317
3-7Last 103-7
LWWWLLast 5LWLLL
-0.9V the odds-1.9
19-24Season20-21
14-19Clay 202616-19
0Last 7 days1
16dDays rest6d
0Wins here0
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-2

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. Reis Da SilvaFAV1.2875%
M. A. Dellien Velasco3.8125%
Market says75% Silva

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

J. Reis Da Silva2
M. A. Dellien Velasco2
Head to head4 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-29CuritibaJ. Reis Da SilvavM. A. Dellien Velasco2 - 0
2025-05-01Porto AlegreJ. Reis Da SilvavM. A. Dellien Velasco2 - 0
2025-01-15Buenos Aires 2J. Reis Da SilvavM. A. Dellien Velasco1 - 2
2021-10-12M25 Lima 2J. Reis Da SilvavM. A. Dellien Velasco0 - 2

This season & this event

J. Reis Da Silva
M. A. Dellien Velasco
20-24
15-19
Lost R32 to T. Barrios Vera
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
20-22
16-20
Reached R32
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao
Brazil
Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco
Bolivia
207
26
Brazil
50–32
2
0–2
50–30
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
317
29
Bolivia
11–11
0
—
10–10
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Reis Da Silva — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29CuritibaClayM. A. Dellien Velasco2 - 01.2875%WON
2026-09-13TullnClayM. Brunold0 - 22.4961%LOST
2026-09-12TullnClayA. Barrena2 - 01.6858%WON
2026-09-10TullnClayT. Monteiro2 - 03.0969%WON
2026-09-08TullnClayA. Molcan0 - 24.9080%WON
2026-08-31ComoClayG. Bueno2 - 02.4060%LOST
2026-07-28BonnClayT. Gentzsch2 - 02.7465%LOST
2026-07-21TampereClayD. Kuzmanov0 - 21.8851%LOST
2026-07-14BunschotenClayH. Barton2 - 12.5462%LOST
2026-06-22WimbledonGrassN. Budkov Kjaer2 - 15.9884%LOST

M. A. Dellien Velasco — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29CuritibaClayJ. Reis Da Silva2 - 03.8175%LOST
2026-09-23Buenos Aires 3ClayJ. P. Varillas1 - 25.0681%LOST
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayH. Casanova2 - 02.8067%WON
2026-08-25AugsburgClayB. Sanchez Martinez2 - 02.8366%LOST
2026-08-18Sion (Switzerland)ClayR. Nijboer0 - 22.1255%LOST
2026-08-10TodiClayD. E. Galan0 - 23.9076%LOST
2026-08-04Plovdiv 2 (Bulgaria)ClayA. Andreev0 - 22.9868%LOST
2026-07-31M25 WetzlarClayJ. Loge0 - 22.3960%LOST
2026-07-30M25 WetzlarClayL. G. Verwerft2 - 1——WON
2026-07-29M25 WetzlarClayJ. van Assendelft2 - 11.1385%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao or Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco?

Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao is favourite at 1.28, which is a 75% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao vs Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco?

Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao is 1.28 and Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco is 3.81, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.

What is the head-to-head between Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao and Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco?

They have met 4 times and they are level at 2-2.

Who will win Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao vs Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco?

Our model makes it Lucas Reis Da Silva Joao to win 2-0 at 1.73 (Lean confidence).

Also at this event