THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 30 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 351EVENTS 32LIVE 2ALERTS 173
ChallengerClayCuritiba · 1/16-finals2026-09-29 15:00

M. Tobon v Juan Bautista Torres

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
J. B. Torres to win1.53
Worth backing at 1.53 or bigger · our chance 66% · market 37/63, us 34/66

J. B. Torres is 5-5 over the last ten and 34-22 on clay this season. M. Tobon is 4-6 over the last ten and 15-12 on clay this season. The head to head is M. Tobon 0-3.

The pick is J. B. Torres to win. We make it a 66% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.53 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. TobonJ. B. Torres
501Ranking325
4-6Last 105-5
LWLWWLast 5LLWLW
-1.1V the odds-0.7
25-22Season34-24
15-12Clay 202634-22
0Last 7 days0
19dDays rest8d
0Wins here0
Defending titleFitnessClear
Head to head
0-3

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. Tobon2.5637%
J. B. TorresFAV1.5363%
Market says63% Torres

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Tobon0
J. B. Torres4
Head to head4 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-29CuritibaM. TobonvJ. B. Torres1 - 2
2026-05-14Cordoba 2J. B. TorresvM. Tobon2 - 1
2025-11-18FlorianopolisM. TobonvJ. B. Torres0 - 2
2025-10-28Lima 3M. TobonvJ. B. Torres0 - 2

This season & this event

M. Tobon
Defending title
J. B. Torres
25-23
15-13
Champion
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
35-25
35-23
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

M. Tobon
Colombia
Juan Bautista Torres
Argentina
501
20
Colombia
15–9
0
5–3
10–6
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
325
24
Argentina
15–12
0
—
15–12
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Tobon — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29CuritibaClayJ. B. Torres1 - 22.5663%LOST
2026-09-10IstanbulClayE. Butvilas0 - 23.5073%LOST
2026-09-08IstanbulClayK. Kirci2 - 01.0985%WON
2026-08-27Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - QualificationHardR. Pacheco Mendez0 - 23.6273%LOST
2026-08-26Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - QualificationHardJ. P. Ficovich0 - 21.8552%WON
2026-08-25Kingston 2 (Jamaica) - QualificationHardP. O. Fellin0 - 21.5263%WON
2026-08-17Kingston (Jamaica)HardP. A. Saraiva Dos Santos0 - 21.3867%LOST
2026-08-16Kingston (Jamaica)HardL. Claverie2 - 11.6456%WON
2026-07-26Los CabosHardB. Tomic1 - 23.1770%LOST
2026-07-20SegoviaHardM. Gonzalez Fernandez2 - 11.5661%LOST

J. B. Torres — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30CuritibaClayT. Barrios Vera0 - 23.3572%LOST
2026-09-29CuritibaClayM. Tobon1 - 21.5363%WON
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayJ. P. Ficovich0 - 21.5061%LOST
2026-08-19PragueClayC. H. Tseng1 - 22.6263%LOST
2026-08-17PragueClayM. Gengel1 - 21.1979%WON
2026-08-14TodiClayM. Cecchinato2 - 02.9069%LOST
2026-08-12TodiClayF. Romano1 - 21.7754%WON
2026-08-11TodiClayE. Dalla Valle0 - 1 RET2.7465%WON
2026-08-04HagenClayC. Taberner2 - 01.4467%LOST
2026-08-03HagenClayN. Barsukov2 - 01.2179%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, M. Tobon or Juan Bautista Torres?

Juan Bautista Torres is favourite at 1.53, which is a 63% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for M. Tobon vs Juan Bautista Torres?

M. Tobon is 2.56 and Juan Bautista Torres is 1.53, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.

What is the head-to-head between M. Tobon and Juan Bautista Torres?

They have met 4 times and Juan Bautista Torres leads 4-0.

Who will win M. Tobon vs Juan Bautista Torres?

Our model makes it Juan Bautista Torres to win at 1.53 (Lean confidence).

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