Alex Barrena v Tomas Barrios Vera
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
StrongA. Barrena is 8-2 over the last ten and 27-22 on clay this season. T. Barrios Vera is 3-7 over the last ten and 11-13 on clay this season. A. Barrena has played 4 matches in seven days.
The pick is A. Barrena to win. We make it a 49% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.04 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| A. Barrena | T. Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| 235 | Ranking | 134 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 3-7 |
| WWWWW | Last 5 | LWWWL |
| +2.5 | V the odds | -2.5 |
| 28-28 | Season | 24-26 |
| 27-22 | Clay 2026 | 11-13 |
| 4 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 2d | Days rest | 29d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | 29d out |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
A. Barrena — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | F. Mena | 2 - 0 | 2.00 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | J. Aguilar Cardozo | 0 - 2 | 2.60 | 64% | WON |
| 2026-09-25 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | J. C. Prado Angelo | 0 - 2 | 2.14 | 55% | WON |
| 2026-09-24 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | J. P. Ficovich | 0 - 2 | 1.53 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | V. Garay | 0 - 2 | 1.04 | 92% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | Biella | Clay | C. A. Caniato | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-18 | Biella | Clay | J. C. Martin Manzano | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-17 | Biella | Clay | S. Pieri | 2 - 0 | 1.53 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-09-14 | Biella | Clay | M. Chazal | 2 - 1 | 1.53 | 62% | WON |
| 2026-09-12 | Tulln | Clay | J. Reis Da Silva | 2 - 0 | 2.30 | 58% | LOST |
T. Barrios Vera — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | Clay | J. B. Torres | 0 - 2 | 1.31 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | L. J. Rodriguez | 0 - 2 | 1.27 | 72% | WON |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open | Hard | A. Blockx | 3 - 0 | 5.52 | 82% | LOST |
| 2026-08-27 | US Open | Hard | D. Rincon | 0 - 2 | 1.86 | 51% | WON |
| 2026-08-26 | US Open | Hard | G. A. Olivieri | 0 - 2 | 1.24 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | J. C. Prado Angelo | 1 - 2 | 1.64 | 58% | WON |
| 2026-08-20 | Cancun 2 | Hard | R. Pacheco Mendez | 2 - 0 | 2.58 | 62% | LOST |
| 2026-08-01 | Montreal | Hard | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | 2.88 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-07-21 | Zug | Clay | D. Dietrich | 2 - 1 | 1.94 | 50% | LOST |
| 2026-07-14 | Bunschoten | Clay | N. Visker | 0 - 2 | 1.12 | 85% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Alex Barrena or Tomas Barrios Vera?
Tomas Barrios Vera is favourite at 1.57, which is a 58% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Alex Barrena vs Tomas Barrios Vera?
Alex Barrena is 2.20 and Tomas Barrios Vera is 1.57, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.
Who will win Alex Barrena vs Tomas Barrios Vera?
Our model makes it Alex Barrena to win at 2.20 (Strong confidence).