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ChallengerClayAntofagasta · Final2026-10-05 15:00

Mateus Alves v Jose Pereira

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidWON
J. Pereira to win a set (set handicap +1.5)
Worth backing at 1.90 or bigger · our chance 53% · market 81/19, us 77/23

J. Pereira is 6-4 over the last ten and 13-12 on clay this season. M. Alves is 9-1 over the last ten and 33-9 on clay this season. The head to head is M. Alves 1-0.

The pick is J. Pereira to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 53% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.90 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. AlvesJ. Pereira
548Ranking710
9-1Last 106-4
WLWWWLast 5WLWWL
-0.2V the odds+1.0
38-15Season13-12
33-9Clay 202613-12
3Last 7 days3
1dDays rest1d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. AlvesFAV1.1781%
J. Pereira4.9519%
Market says81% Alves

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Alves1
J. Pereira1
Head to head2 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-05AntofagastaM. AlvesvJ. Pereira0 - 2
2026-09-29CuritibaJ. PereiravM. Alves1 - 2

This season & this event

M. Alves
J. Pereira
38-16
33-10
Did not play
Lost R32 to H. Dellien
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
14-13
14-13
Did not play
Lost R32 to J. M. Cerundolo

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Mateus Alves
Brazil
Jose Pereira
Brazil
385
25
Brazil
38–15
5
5–3
33–12
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
778
35
Brazil
14–12
0
—
14–12
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Alves — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayJ. Pereira0 - 21.1781%LOST
2026-10-04AntofagastaClayB. De La Pena2 - 01.0292%WON
2026-10-01CuritibaClayG. Villanueva0 - 21.4066%LOST
2026-09-29CuritibaClayJ. Pereira1 - 21.0886%WON
2026-09-27M15 Curitiba (Brazil)ClayP. Sakamoto2 - 0——WON
2026-09-26M15 Curitiba (Brazil)ClayW. Leite2 - 01.0988%WON
2026-09-25M15 Curitiba (Brazil)ClayV. C. Loureiro J.2 - 0——WON
2026-09-24M15 Curitiba (Brazil)ClayP. H. Chabalgoity2 - 0——WON
2026-09-23M15 Curitiba (Brazil)ClayM. Mouilleron Salvo2 - 01.0193%WON
2026-09-13M15 Leme (Brazil)ClayP. Sakamoto2 - 0——WON

J. Pereira — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-06AntofagastaClayL. Midon1 - 26.3285%LOST
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayM. Alves0 - 24.9581%WON
2026-10-04AntofagastaClayA. Huertas Del Pino Cordova2 - 01.5958%WON
2026-09-29CuritibaClayM. Alves1 - 26.4086%LOST
2026-09-28CuritibaClayR. Dickerson1 - 21.9652%WON
2026-09-27CuritibaClayR. Tosetto1 - 2——WON
2026-09-25M15 Curitiba (Brazil)ClayW. Leite2 - 02.0253%LOST
2026-09-24M15 Curitiba (Brazil)ClayJ. Roberts1 - 21.5061%WON
2026-09-23M15 Curitiba (Brazil)ClayF. De Dios1 - 21.2872%WON
2026-08-05M25 LondrinaClayS. Price2 - 1——LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Mateus Alves or Jose Pereira?

Mateus Alves is favourite at 1.17, which is a 81% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Mateus Alves vs Jose Pereira?

Mateus Alves is 1.17 and Jose Pereira is 4.95, the prices we recorded for the Antofagasta match.

What is the head-to-head between Mateus Alves and Jose Pereira?

They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.

Who will win Mateus Alves vs Jose Pereira?

Our model makes it Jose Pereira to win a set (Solid confidence).

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