THE TENNIS TRADER
FRIDAY 16 OCTOBERMATCHES 147EVENTS 38LIVE 21ALERTS 44
ChallengerClay (Indoor)Maia2026-10-16 17:30

Matej Dodig v Tristan Boyer

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Solid
M. Dodig to win1.46
Worth backing at 1.38 or bigger · our chance 73% · market 66/34, us 73/27

M. Dodig is 8-2 over the last ten and 33-11 on clay this season. T. Boyer is 5-5 over the last ten and 12-5 on clay this season. M. Dodig has played 5 matches in seven days. T. Boyer took a medical timeout on 2026-10-13.

The pick is M. Dodig to win. We make it a 73% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.38 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

M. DodigT. Boyer
171Ranking209
8-2Last 105-5
WWWWWLast 5WWLLW
+2.3V the odds-0.3
38-20Season27-21
33-11Clay 202612-5
5Last 7 days2
1dDays rest1d
2Wins here2
ClearFitnessMTO
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

M. DodigFAV1.4666%
T. Boyer2.8634%
Market says66% Dodig

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

M. Dodig
T. Boyer
38-20
33-11
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
27-21
12-5
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Matej Dodig
Croatia
Tristan Boyer
USA
171
21
Croatia
31–19
1
5–6
25–11
1–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
209
25
USA
25–21
1
11–13
11–6
3–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Dodig — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-15MaiaClay (Indoor)L. Neumayer2 - 11.4766%WON
2026-10-12MaiaClay (Indoor)P. Martinez0 - 21.5961%WON
2026-10-11BragaClayE. Moller1 - 21.4268%WON
2026-10-10BragaClayL. Neumayer2 - 01.6857%WON
2026-10-09BragaClayM. Moeller0 - 21.4666%WON
2026-10-08BragaClayM. Damas0 - 21.2676%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayA. Pellegrino2 - 11.6458%WON
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsA. Zverev2 - 016.0894%LOST
2026-09-12GenovaClayT. Seyboth Wild2 - 12.1054%LOST
2026-09-11GenovaClayE. Dalla Valle2 - 11.5264%WON

T. Boyer — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-15MaiaClay (Indoor)V. Gaubas2 - 12.2958%WON
2026-10-12MaiaClay (Indoor)A. Moro Canas2 - 02.0453%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayZ. Piros2 - 12.5063%LOST
2026-09-25San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardT. Legout1 - 21.8752%LOST
2026-09-23San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardS. Gorzny2 - 01.6558%WON
2026-09-22San Diego 2 (Usa) - QualificationHardS. Johnson2 - 01.9751%WON
2026-09-16TiburonHardA. Shelbayh0 - 21.6059%LOST
2026-09-14TiburonHardE. Winter2 - 01.5264%WON
2026-08-25US OpenHardA. Ilagan2 - 11.9350%LOST
2026-08-17Quebec City (Canada) - QualificationHardJ. Watt0 - 21.2276%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Matej Dodig or Tristan Boyer?

Matej Dodig is favourite at 1.46, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer?

Matej Dodig is 1.46 and Tristan Boyer is 2.86, the prices we recorded for the Maia match.

Who will win Matej Dodig vs Tristan Boyer?

Our model makes it Matej Dodig to win at 1.46 (Solid confidence).

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