THE TENNIS TRADER
FRIDAY 16 OCTOBERMATCHES 147EVENTS 38LIVE 21ALERTS 44
ChallengerClay (Indoor)Maia · Quarter-finals2026-10-16 12:00

Alejo Sanchez Quilez v Luka Mikrut

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanLOST
L. Mikrut to win 2-01.72
Price too short today - wait for 1.81 or bigger · our chance 55% · market 21/79, us 16/84

L. Mikrut is 9-1 over the last ten and 18-5 on clay this season. A. Sanchez Quilez is 5-5 over the last ten and 26-18 on clay this season. A. Sanchez Quilez has played 4 matches in seven days.

The pick is L. Mikrut to win 2-0. We make it a 55% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.81 or bigger. At 1.72 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

A. Sanchez QuilezL. Mikrut
395Ranking167
5-5Last 109-1
WWWWLLast 5WWLWW
+0.2V the odds+1.3
44-25Season21-11
26-18Clay 202618-5
4Last 7 days3
2dDays rest2d
4Wins here2
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

A. Sanchez Quilez4.6721%
L. MikrutFAV1.2379%
Market says79% Mikrut

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

A. Sanchez Quilez
L. Mikrut
45-25
27-18
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
21-12
18-6
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Spain
Luka Mikrut
Croatia
395
21
Spain
40–21
1
21–7
19–14
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
167
22
Croatia
19–11
1
3–5
16–5
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

A. Sanchez Quilez — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-16MaiaClay (Indoor)L. Mikrut2 - 04.6779%WON
2026-10-14MaiaClay (Indoor)A. Nedic2 - 01.9751%WON
2026-10-13MaiaClay (Indoor)M. Alcala Gurri0 - 24.0176%WON
2026-10-12MaiaClay (Indoor)I. Gakhov2 - 11.6558%WON
2026-10-11MaiaClay (Indoor)V. Leote Prata2 - 11.0988%WON
2026-10-05VillenaClayD. Rincon2 - 02.7064%LOST
2026-09-29PortoClayJ. Fearnley0 - 23.7074%LOST
2026-09-28PortoClayF. Tabacco2 - 1——LOST
2026-09-27PortoClayA. Donski1 - 21.3371%WON
2026-09-14BiellaClayO. Roca Batalla2 - 02.3060%LOST

L. Mikrut — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-16MaiaClay (Indoor)A. Sanchez Quilez2 - 01.2379%LOST
2026-10-14MaiaClay (Indoor)S. Nagal2 - 01.2975%WON
2026-10-12MaiaClay (Indoor)T. Pereira0 - 21.2577%WON
2026-10-09BragaClayV. Gaubas2 - 01.4666%LOST
2026-10-08BragaClayO. Krutykh1 - 21.1980%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayS. Nagal0 - 21.2974%WON
2026-09-27Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayC. A. Caniato2 - 0——WON
2026-09-26Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayM. Moeller1 - 21.4169%WON
2026-09-25Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayL. Neumayer0 - 21.5961%WON
2026-09-23Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayK. Coppejans2 - 01.4666%WON

Common questions

Who is favourite, Alejo Sanchez Quilez or Luka Mikrut?

Luka Mikrut is favourite at 1.23, which is a 79% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Luka Mikrut?

Alejo Sanchez Quilez is 4.67 and Luka Mikrut is 1.23, the prices we recorded for the Maia match.

Who will win Alejo Sanchez Quilez vs Luka Mikrut?

Our model makes it Luka Mikrut to win 2-0 at 1.72 (Lean confidence).

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