WTAHardTokyo · 1/16-finals2026-10-27 03:00

Maiko Uchijima v Elise Mertens

The market

M. Uchijima6.0516%

E. MertensFAV1.1584%

Market says84% Mertens

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

M. UchijimaLWLLL

E. MertensLLLWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

M. Uchijima0

E. Mertens2

Head to head2 meetings

Date	Event	Match	Score
2026-01-22	WTA Australian Open	E. MertensvM. Uchijima	6-3 6-1
2022-10-07	Monastir	M. UchijimavE. Mertens	1 - 2

This season & this event

M. Uchijima

E. Mertens

29-32

22-21

Reached R32

Lost R16 to Q. Zheng

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

34-22

23-16

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Maiko Uchijima

Japan

Elise Mertens

Belgium

—

Japan

1–1

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2023 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

Belgium

31–19

18–11

5–4

7–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

M. Uchijima — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-21	Osaka	Hard	M. Stoiana		2.36	59%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-2 3-6 UchijimaStoianaPoints won49%51%Serve points won59%60%Return points won40%41%Games held8 of 1210 of 13Break points saved6 of 104 of 7Aces20Double faults13
2026-10-19	Osaka	Hard	E. Shibahara		1.64	59%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-7 6-3 UchijimaShibaharaPoints won53%47%Serve points won65%58%Return points won42%35%Games held14 of 1611 of 15Break points saved4 of 67 of 11Aces54Double faults45
2026-10-10	Wuhan	Hard	M. Frech	RET	3.13	69%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 1-4 UchijimaFrechPoints won44%56%Serve points won51%67%Return points won33%49%Games held4 of 86 of 7Break points saved4 of 82 of 3Aces21Double faults82
2026-10-05	Suzhou	Hard	Z. Bai		—	—	LOST
Games in each set6-4 3-6 3-6 UchijimaBaiPoints won49%51%Serve points won62%62%Return points won38%38%Games held10 of 1412 of 14Break points saved4 of 84 of 6Aces52Double faults42
2026-09-30	W35 Wagga Wagga	Hard	N. Sato		12.92	93%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 3-6 UchijimaSatoPoints won42%58%Serve points won39%54%Return points won46%61%Games held2 of 95 of 8Break points saved1 of 81 of 4
2026-09-21	Seoul	Hard	L. Tararudee		2.88	66%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 7-6 2-6 UchijimaTararudeePoints won46%54%Serve points won56%64%Return points won36%44%Games held9 of 1512 of 15Break points saved4 of 103 of 6Aces25Double faults117
2026-08-26	US Open	Hard	L. Havlickova		1.56	61%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-2 6-7 UchijimaHavlickovaPoints won50%50%Serve points won56%56%Return points won44%44%Games held10 of 1410 of 14Break points saved6 of 105 of 9Aces44Double faults89
2026-08-25	US Open	Hard	P. Hercog		1.21	80%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 UchijimaHercogPoints won57%43%Serve points won66%51%Return points won49%34%Games held7 of 94 of 9Break points saved2 of 47 of 12Aces01Double faults24
2026-08-19	W15 Tianjin 3	Hard	R. X. Wu		—	—	LOST
Games in each set3-6 2-6
2026-08-12	Cincinnati	Hard	H. Dart		1.65	58%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 0-6 UchijimaDartPoints won43%57%Serve points won44%60%Return points won40%56%Games held2 of 86 of 7Break points saved13 of 198 of 9Aces21Double faults54

E. Mertens — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-19	Ningbo	Hard	L. Fernandez	1.75	55%	LOST
Games in each set6-2 3-6 5-7 MertensFernandezPoints won49%51%Serve points won50%51%Return points won49%50%Games held7 of 148 of 15Break points saved5 of 127 of 14Aces01Double faults711
2026-10-12	Wuhan	Hard	D. Snigur	1.45	67%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 5-7 MertensSnigurPoints won47%53%Serve points won54%60%Return points won40%46%Games held6 of 118 of 11Break points saved4 of 94 of 7Aces60Double faults35
2026-10-10	Beijing	Hard	Q. Zheng	2.35	58%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 2-6 MertensZhengPoints won41%59%Serve points won53%73%Return points won27%47%Games held6 of 109 of 10Break points saved2 of 61 of 2Aces08Double faults22
2026-10-08	Beijing	Hard	I. Swiatek	4.66	79%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 MertensSwiatekPoints won56%44%Serve points won78%62%Return points won38%22%Games held11 of 119 of 10Break points saved0 of 03 of 4Aces51Double faults10
2026-10-07	Beijing	Hard	C. Gauff	4.31	77%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 MertensGauffPoints won57%43%Serve points won68%52%Return points won48%32%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved0 of 18 of 12Aces23Double faults28
2026-10-04	Beijing	Hard	J. Ostapenko	1.54	63%	WON
Games in each set6-2 3-6 6-3 MertensOstapenkoPoints won55%45%Serve points won62%51%Return points won49%38%Games held9 of 137 of 13Break points saved4 of 87 of 13Aces75Double faults711
2026-10-02	Beijing	Hard	K. Volynets	1.85	53%	WON
Games in each set6-0 4-6 7-5 MertensVolynetsPoints won55%45%Serve points won62%51%Return points won49%38%Games held11 of 148 of 14Break points saved7 of 1011 of 17Aces90Double faults51
2026-09-25	Singapore	Hard (Indoor)	M. Chwalinska	1.47	67%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 2-6 MertensChwalinskaPoints won40%60%Serve points won46%67%Return points won33%54%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved4 of 93 of 4Aces31Double faults22
2026-09-04	US Open	Hard	N. Osaka	3.63	73%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-3 5-7 MertensOsakaPoints won49%51%Serve points won59%61%Return points won39%41%Games held11 of 1512 of 15Break points saved12 of 168 of 11Aces39Double faults52
2026-09-02	US Open	Hard	M. Timofeeva	1.33	73%	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-6 MertensTimofeevaPoints won57%43%Serve points won66%51%Return points won49%34%Games held8 of 106 of 10Break points saved0 of 23 of 7Aces02Double faults33

Common questions

Who is favourite, Maiko Uchijima or Elise Mertens?

Elise Mertens is favourite at 1.15, which is a 84% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Maiko Uchijima vs Elise Mertens?

Maiko Uchijima is 6.05 and Elise Mertens is 1.15, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.

What is the head-to-head between Maiko Uchijima and Elise Mertens?

They have met 2 times and Elise Mertens leads 2-0.

Also at this event

Eala v Stojsavljevic Fernandez v Sakatsume Li v Alexandrova Osaka v Paolini Parry v Bucsa Joint v Cirstea