WTAHardTokyo · 1/16-finals2026-10-27 03:00

Leylah Fernandez v Himeno Sakatsume

The market

L. FernandezFAV1.2180%

H. Sakatsume4.8620%

Market says80% Fernandez

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

L. FernandezLWWWW

H. SakatsumeLLWWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

L. Fernandez

H. Sakatsume

28-26

22-18

Lost R16 to E. Rybakina

Lost QF to Q. Zheng

2026 record

2026 on hard

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

32-27

24-19

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Leylah Fernandez

Canada

Himeno Sakatsume

Japan

Canada

17–23

8–12

8–7

1–4

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

144

Japan

29–24

21–16

5–3

2–4

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

L. Fernandez — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-25	Ningbo	Hard	E. Rybakina	3.56	73%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 2-6 FernandezRybakinaPoints won41%59%Serve points won51%67%Return points won33%49%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved1 of 54 of 4Aces23Double faults32
2026-10-24	Ningbo	Hard	M. Bouzkova	2.03	52%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-5 FernandezBouzkovaPoints won56%44%Serve points won52%41%Return points won59%48%Games held5 of 103 of 11Break points saved10 of 1510 of 18Aces30Double faults32
2026-10-23	Ningbo	Hard	E. Alexandrova	2.27	57%	WON
Games in each set4-6 6-2 6-1 FernandezAlexandrovaPoints won57%43%Serve points won67%54%Return points won46%33%Games held12 of 138 of 12Break points saved3 of 45 of 9Aces35Double faults24
2026-10-21	Ningbo	Hard	A. Sasnovich	1.47	66%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-7 6-3 FernandezSasnovichPoints won52%48%Serve points won57%53%Return points won47%43%Games held11 of 169 of 17Break points saved1 of 67 of 15Aces13Double faults86
2026-10-19	Ningbo	Hard	E. Mertens	2.18	55%	WON
Games in each set2-6 6-3 7-5 FernandezMertensPoints won51%49%Serve points won51%50%Return points won50%49%Games held8 of 157 of 14Break points saved7 of 145 of 12Aces10Double faults117
2026-10-15	Wuhan	Hard	J. Ostapenko	1.76	55%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 6-1 4-6 FernandezOstapenkoPoints won48%52%Serve points won55%61%Return points won39%45%Games held7 of 128 of 12Break points saved12 of 172 of 6Aces52Double faults77
2026-10-14	Wuhan	Hard	H. Shi	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 FernandezShiPoints won56%44%Serve points won66%60%Return points won40%34%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved7 of 81 of 4Aces01Double faults72
2026-10-12	Wuhan	Hard	E. Alexandrova	2.10	54%	WON
Games in each set6-4 3-6 6-3 FernandezAlexandrovaPoints won52%48%Serve points won56%52%Return points won48%44%Games held9 of 148 of 14Break points saved14 of 193 of 9Aces81Double faults59
2026-10-02	Beijing	Hard	K. Rakhimova	1.32	74%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-4 3-6 FernandezRakhimovaPoints won48%52%Serve points won58%62%Return points won38%42%Games held9 of 1411 of 13Break points saved6 of 112 of 4Aces50Double faults24
2026-09-27	Singapore	Hard (Indoor)	T. Gibson	1.50	64%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-0 FernandezGibsonPoints won57%43%Serve points won62%46%Return points won54%38%Games held7 of 93 of 9Break points saved3 of 56 of 12Aces52Double faults45

H. Sakatsume — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-19	Osaka	Hard	K. Boulter	2.58	62%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 1-6 SakatsumeBoulterPoints won44%56%Serve points won50%60%Return points won40%50%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved4 of 912 of 13Aces21Double faults17
2026-10-10	Samsun	Hard	A. Aksu	1.45	67%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 3-6 SakatsumeAksuPoints won48%52%Serve points won46%50%Return points won50%54%Games held3 of 106 of 11Break points saved12 of 198 of 13Aces01Double faults12
2026-10-09	Samsun	Hard	S. Waltert	1.90	50%	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-4 6-0 SakatsumeWaltertPoints won53%47%Serve points won59%54%Return points won46%41%Games held11 of 148 of 14Break points saved10 of 1311 of 17Aces01Double faults36
2026-10-07	Samsun	Hard	V. Hruncakova	1.35	71%	WON
Games in each set7-5 6-2 SakatsumeHruncakovaPoints won57%43%Serve points won68%52%Return points won48%32%Games held9 of 106 of 10Break points saved4 of 52 of 6Aces48Double faults13
2026-10-05	Samsun	Hard	D. Salkova	2.00	54%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-4 SakatsumeSalkovaPoints won58%42%Serve points won62%47%Return points won53%38%Games held7 of 93 of 8Break points saved7 of 92 of 7Aces13Double faults36
2026-09-21	Seoul	Hard	T. Preston	1.81	54%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-3 2-6 SakatsumePrestonPoints won47%53%Serve points won56%63%Return points won37%44%Games held8 of 1310 of 12Break points saved6 of 115 of 7Aces32Double faults37
2026-09-02	US Open	Hard	C. Bucsa	2.87	66%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 7-6 6-7 SakatsumeBucsaPoints won50%50%Serve points won58%57%Return points won43%42%Games held12 of 1812 of 18Break points saved4 of 107 of 13Aces21Double faults35
2026-08-31	US Open	Hard	A. Kalinina	3.55	73%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 SakatsumeKalininaPoints won56%44%Serve points won69%55%Return points won45%31%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved1 of 23 of 7Aces30Double faults32
2026-08-27	US Open	Hard	M. Ristic	1.74	55%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-3 SakatsumeRisticPoints won54%46%Serve points won70%62%Return points won38%30%Games held9 of 106 of 9Break points saved2 of 33 of 6Aces32Double faults10
2026-08-26	US Open	Hard	T. C. Grant	2.60	63%	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-2 6-3 SakatsumeGrantPoints won53%47%Serve points won52%46%Return points won54%48%Games held8 of 155 of 14Break points saved16 of 237 of 16Aces45Double faults48

Common questions

Who is favourite, Leylah Fernandez or Himeno Sakatsume?

Leylah Fernandez is favourite at 1.21, which is a 80% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Leylah Fernandez vs Himeno Sakatsume?

Leylah Fernandez is 1.21 and Himeno Sakatsume is 4.86, the prices we recorded for the Tokyo match.

Also at this event

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