THE TENNIS TRADER
THURSDAY 15 OCTOBERMATCHES 217EVENTS 35LIVE 6ALERTS 148
ChallengerClay (Indoor)Maia2026-10-14 13:30

Luka Mikrut v Sumit Nagal

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON
L. Mikrut to win 2-01.72
Price too short today - wait for 1.96 or bigger · our chance 51% · market 75/25, us 80/20

L. Mikrut is 8-2 over the last ten and 17-5 on clay this season. S. Nagal is 3-7 over the last ten and 15-16 on clay this season. The head to head is L. Mikrut 2-0.

The pick is L. Mikrut to win 2-0. We make it a 51% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.96 or bigger. At 1.72 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

L. MikrutS. Nagal
167Ranking253
8-2Last 103-7
WLWWWLast 5WLLLL
+0.5V the odds-1.4
20-11Season23-28
17-5Clay 202615-16
3Last 7 days1
2dDays rest2d
1Wins here1
ClearFitnessClear
Head to head
2-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

L. MikrutFAV1.2975%
S. Nagal3.8825%
Market says75% Mikrut

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

L. Mikrut3
S. Nagal0
Head to head3 meetings
DateEventMatchScore
2026-10-14MaiaL. MikrutvS. Nagal2 - 0
2026-10-07BragaS. NagalvL. Mikrut0 - 2
2025-10-03BragaL. MikrutvS. Nagal2 - 1

This season & this event

L. Mikrut
S. Nagal
21-11
18-5
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
23-29
15-17
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Luka Mikrut
Croatia
Sumit Nagal
India
167
22
Croatia
19–11
1
3–5
16–5
0–1
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
253
29
India
22–28
1
5–6
17–18
—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

L. Mikrut — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-14MaiaClay (Indoor)S. Nagal2 - 01.2975%WON
2026-10-12MaiaClay (Indoor)T. Pereira0 - 21.2577%WON
2026-10-09BragaClayV. Gaubas2 - 01.4666%LOST
2026-10-08BragaClayO. Krutykh1 - 21.1980%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayS. Nagal0 - 21.2974%WON
2026-09-27Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayC. A. Caniato2 - 0——WON
2026-09-26Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayM. Moeller1 - 21.4169%WON
2026-09-25Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayL. Neumayer0 - 21.5961%WON
2026-09-23Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayK. Coppejans2 - 01.4666%WON
2026-09-22Genova 2 (Italy) - QualificationClayF. Iannaccone0 - 2——WON

S. Nagal — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-14MaiaClay (Indoor)L. Mikrut2 - 03.8875%LOST
2026-10-12MaiaClay (Indoor)H. Rocha2 - 13.6874%WON
2026-10-05BragaClayL. Mikrut0 - 23.6974%LOST
2026-09-19ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsS. Kwon2 - 03.5073%LOST
2026-09-18ATP Davis Cup - World Group- Play OffsH. Chung2 - 11.4962%LOST
2026-08-25US OpenHardA. Gea2 - 06.2485%LOST
2026-08-19PragueClayJ. Kumstat2 - 02.6364%LOST
2026-08-17PragueClayE. Ribeiro0 - 2——WON
2026-08-11HamburgClayM. Houkes2 - 01.7555%LOST
2026-08-01LiberecClayJ. Kumstat2 - 02.0653%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Luka Mikrut or Sumit Nagal?

Luka Mikrut is favourite at 1.29, which is a 75% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal?

Luka Mikrut is 1.29 and Sumit Nagal is 3.88, the prices we recorded for the Maia match.

What is the head-to-head between Luka Mikrut and Sumit Nagal?

They have met 3 times and Luka Mikrut leads 3-0.

Who will win Luka Mikrut vs Sumit Nagal?

Our model makes it Luka Mikrut to win 2-0 at 1.72 (Lean confidence).

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