THE TENNIS TRADER
WEDNESDAY 30 SEPTEMBERMATCHES 351EVENTS 32LIVE 2ALERTS 173
ChallengerClayCuritiba2026-09-29 16:30

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez v Tomas Barrios Vera

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

SolidLOST
L. J. Rodriguez to win3.40
Worth backing at 2.93 or bigger · our chance 34% · market 28/72, us 34/66

L. J. Rodriguez is 6-4 over the last ten and 25-17 on clay this season. T. Barrios Vera is 3-7 over the last ten and 11-13 on clay this season.

The pick is L. J. Rodriguez to win. We make it a 34% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.93 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

L. J. RodriguezT. Barrios Vera
-Ranking134
6-4Last 103-7
WWLWWLast 5LWWWL
-0.4V the odds-2.5
27-20Season24-26
25-17Clay 202611-13
3Last 7 days0
1dDays rest29d
2Wins here0
ClearFitness29d out
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

L. J. Rodriguez3.3428%
T. Barrios VeraFAV1.2772%
Market says72% Vera

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

L. J. Rodriguez0
T. Barrios Vera1
Head to head1 meeting
DateEventMatchScore
2026-09-29CuritibaL. J. RodriguezvT. Barrios Vera0 - 2

This season & this event

L. J. Rodriguez
T. Barrios Vera
27-21
25-18
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
26-26
13-13
Reached R32
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Argentina
Tomas Barrios Vera
Chile
449
27
Argentina
52–28
3
0–1
52–27
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2025 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
135
28
Chile
24–26
0
9–8
12–16
2–2

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

L. J. Rodriguez — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-29CuritibaClayT. Barrios Vera0 - 23.3472%LOST
2026-09-28CuritibaClayW. Leite2 - 01.2077%WON
2026-09-27CuritibaClayB. Milani2 - 01.0290%WON
2026-09-22Buenos Aires 3ClayJ. C. Prado Angelo2 - 03.5073%LOST
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayB. Malla1 - 0 RET1.6756%WON
2026-09-20Buenos Aires 3ClayT. Meneo2 - 01.0491%WON
2026-08-04M25 LondrinaClayF. Meligeni Alves0 - 24.1778%LOST
2026-07-29M15 Sao PauloClayE. Kohlmann0 - 21.4168%LOST
2026-07-25M25 Sao PauloClayP. A. Saraiva Dos Santos2 - 01.4465%LOST
2026-07-24M25 Sao PauloClayJ. Pereira2 - 01.2377%WON

T. Barrios Vera — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-09-30CuritibaClayJ. B. Torres0 - 21.3172%WON
2026-09-29CuritibaClayL. J. Rodriguez0 - 21.2772%WON
2026-08-31US OpenHardA. Blockx3 - 05.5282%LOST
2026-08-27US OpenHardD. Rincon0 - 21.8651%WON
2026-08-26US OpenHardG. A. Olivieri0 - 21.2477%WON
2026-08-24US OpenHardJ. C. Prado Angelo1 - 21.6458%WON
2026-08-20Cancun 2HardR. Pacheco Mendez2 - 02.5862%LOST
2026-08-01MontrealHardA. Vukic2 - 02.8867%LOST
2026-07-21ZugClayD. Dietrich2 - 11.9450%LOST
2026-07-14BunschotenClayN. Visker0 - 21.1285%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez or Tomas Barrios Vera?

Tomas Barrios Vera is favourite at 1.27, which is a 72% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Tomas Barrios Vera?

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez is 3.34 and Tomas Barrios Vera is 1.27, the prices we recorded for the Curitiba match.

What is the head-to-head between Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez and Tomas Barrios Vera?

They have met 1 time and Tomas Barrios Vera leads 1-0.

Who will win Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Tomas Barrios Vera?

Our model makes it Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez to win at 3.40 (Solid confidence).

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