Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez v Thiago Cigarran
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanLOSTL. J. Rodriguez is 6-4 over the last ten and 27-19 on clay this season. T. Cigarran is 6-4 over the last ten and 31-27 on clay this season. L. J. Rodriguez took a medical timeout on 2026-09-29. T. Cigarran retired from a match in the last month. The head to head is L. J. Rodriguez 1-0.
The pick is L. J. Rodriguez to win. We make it a 67% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.50 or bigger. At 1.41 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| L. J. Rodriguez | T. Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| 538 | Ranking | 797 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 6-4 |
| WLWLW | Last 5 | WLWWL |
| +0.3 | V the odds | +0.3 |
| 29-22 | Season | 32-28 |
| 27-19 | Clay 2026 | 31-27 |
| 2 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 1d | Days rest | 1d |
| 1 | Wins here | 1 |
| MTO | Fitness | retired |
| Head to head 1-0 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Santa Cruz 2 | L. J. RodriguezvT. Cigarran | 0 - 2 |
| 2026-07-18 | M15 Villa Constitucion (Argentina) | T. CigarranvL. J. Rodriguez | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
L. J. Rodriguez — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | T. Cigarran | 0 - 2 | 1.41 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-10-11 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | A. E. Cuellar Lorberg | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | J. Aguilar Cardozo | 2 - 1 | 5.24 | 82% | LOST |
| 2026-10-04 | Antofagasta | Clay | F. Ribero | 0 - 2 | 1.17 | 79% | WON |
| 2026-09-29 | Curitiba | Clay | T. Barrios Vera | 0 - 2 | 3.40 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | Clay | W. Leite | 2 - 0 | 1.20 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-09-27 | Curitiba | Clay | B. Milani | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | J. C. Prado Angelo | 2 - 0 | — | — | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | B. Malla | 1 - 0 RET | 1.67 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | T. Meneo | 2 - 0 | 1.04 | 91% | WON |
T. Cigarran — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | L. J. Rodriguez | 0 - 2 | 2.85 | 67% | WON |
| 2026-10-11 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | B. Arias | 1 - 2 | 1.11 | 85% | WON |
| 2026-10-06 | Antofagasta | Clay | M. Tobon | 2 - 1 | 4.02 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | N. Kicker | 0 - 1 RET | 6.01 | 84% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Antofagasta | Clay | A. Matta | 0 - 2 | 1.03 | 91% | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | T. Martinez | 0 - 1 RET | 1.46 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-09-20 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | S. Pesino | 2 - 0 | 1.14 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-09-06 | Seville | Clay | T. Pereira | 2 - 1 | 4.21 | 77% | LOST |
| 2026-09-04 | M25 Casablanca (Morocco) | Clay | K. Bennani | 0 - 2 | 4.39 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-09-03 | M25 Casablanca (Morocco) | Clay | I. Haddouch | 2 - 0 | 1.06 | 86% | WON |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez or Thiago Cigarran?
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez is favourite at 1.41, which is a 67% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran?
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez is 1.41 and Thiago Cigarran is 2.85, the prices we recorded for the Santa Cruz 2 match.
What is the head-to-head between Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez and Thiago Cigarran?
They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.
Who will win Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Thiago Cigarran?
Our model makes it Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez to win at 1.41 (Lean confidence).