Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo v Felipe Meligeni Alves
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanVOIDJ. Aguilar Cardozo is 8-2 over the last ten and 41-11 on clay this season. F. Meligeni Alves is 4-6 over the last ten and 20-11 on clay this season. J. Aguilar Cardozo took a medical timeout on 2026-10-11.
The pick is J. Aguilar Cardozo to win. We make it a 55% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.82 or bigger. At 1.76 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| J. Aguilar Cardozo | F. Meligeni Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| 342 | Ranking | 453 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| LWWWL | Last 5 | LWWLW |
| +0.4 | V the odds | -0.8 |
| 44-13 | Season | 25-17 |
| 41-11 | Clay 2026 | 20-11 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 3 |
| 4d | Days rest | 3d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| MTO | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Recent form
Last five completed matches, most recent first.
Head to head
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players


Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
J. Aguilar Cardozo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | F. Meligeni Alves | 0 - 1 RET | 1.78 | 54% | LOST |
| 2026-10-08 | Antofagasta | Clay | L. Midon | 1 - 2 | 1.81 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-10-06 | Antofagasta | Clay | N. Villalon | 2 - 0 | 1.07 | 89% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | L. J. Rodriguez | 2 - 1 | 1.15 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-10-04 | Antofagasta | Clay | S. De La Fuente | 2 - 1 | 1.03 | 92% | WON |
| 2026-09-26 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | A. Barrena | 0 - 2 | 1.51 | 64% | LOST |
| 2026-09-25 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 0 | 1.64 | 59% | WON |
| 2026-09-23 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | F. Comesana | 1 - 2 | 3.12 | 69% | WON |
| 2026-09-22 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | C. M. Zarate | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | F. Aguilar Cardozo | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
F. Meligeni Alves — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | J. Aguilar Cardozo | 0 - 1 RET | 2.08 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-10-09 | Antofagasta | Clay | T. Seyboth Wild | 2 - 0 | 3.27 | 70% | LOST |
| 2026-10-07 | Antofagasta | Clay | N. Hardt | 0 - 2 | 1.46 | 63% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 0 | 2.05 | 53% | WON |
| 2026-09-30 | Curitiba | Clay | G. Heide | 2 - 0 | 3.35 | 72% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | Clay | C. M. Zarate | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Genova | Clay | H. Dellien | 2 - 0 | 2.92 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-09-02 | Mallorca | Hard | A. Sanchez Quilez | 0 - 2 | 1.87 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | D. Svrcina | 2 - 0 | 4.25 | 78% | LOST |
| 2026-08-20 | Cancun 2 | Hard | M. Kouame | 0 - 2 | 2.07 | 53% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo or Felipe Meligeni Alves?
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is favourite at 1.78, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Felipe Meligeni Alves?
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is 1.78 and Felipe Meligeni Alves is 2.08, the prices we recorded for the Santa Cruz 2 match.
Who will win Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Felipe Meligeni Alves?
Our model makes it Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo to win at 1.76 (Lean confidence).