THE TENNIS TRADER
TUESDAY 13 OCTOBERMATCHES 224EVENTS 35LIVE 2ALERTS 135
ChallengerClaySanta Cruz 22026-10-12 16:00

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo v Felipe Meligeni Alves

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanVOID
J. Aguilar Cardozo to win1.76
Price too short today - wait for 1.82 or bigger · our chance 55% · market 54/46, us 55/45

J. Aguilar Cardozo is 8-2 over the last ten and 41-11 on clay this season. F. Meligeni Alves is 4-6 over the last ten and 20-11 on clay this season. J. Aguilar Cardozo took a medical timeout on 2026-10-11.

The pick is J. Aguilar Cardozo to win. We make it a 55% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.82 or bigger. At 1.76 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. Aguilar CardozoF. Meligeni Alves
342Ranking453
8-2Last 104-6
LWWWLLast 5LWWLW
+0.4V the odds-0.8
44-13Season25-17
41-11Clay 202620-11
3Last 7 days3
4dDays rest3d
0Wins here0
MTOFitnessClear
Head to head
First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. Aguilar CardozoFAV1.7854%
F. Meligeni Alves2.0846%
Market says54% Cardozo

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

J. Aguilar Cardozo
F. Meligeni Alves
44-14
41-12
Did not play
Did not play
2026 record
2026 on clay
Here in 2025
Here in 2024
26-17
21-11
Did not play
Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Uruguay
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Brazil
342
21
Uruguay
42–12
4
—
41–11
—
Ranking
Age
Country
2026 W/L
Titles
Hard
Clay
Grass
453
28
Brazil
23–16
2
2–3
21–12
0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Aguilar Cardozo — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12Santa Cruz 2ClayF. Meligeni Alves0 - 1 RET1.7854%LOST
2026-10-08AntofagastaClayL. Midon1 - 21.8153%LOST
2026-10-06AntofagastaClayN. Villalon2 - 01.0789%WON
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayL. J. Rodriguez2 - 11.1582%WON
2026-10-04AntofagastaClayS. De La Fuente2 - 11.0392%WON
2026-09-26Buenos Aires 3ClayA. Barrena0 - 21.5164%LOST
2026-09-25Buenos Aires 3ClayJ. P. Varillas2 - 01.6459%WON
2026-09-23Buenos Aires 3ClayF. Comesana1 - 23.1269%WON
2026-09-22Buenos Aires 3ClayC. M. Zarate0 - 2——WON
2026-09-21Buenos Aires 3ClayF. Aguilar Cardozo2 - 0——WON

F. Meligeni Alves — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

DateEventSurfaceOpponentScoreTheir priceMarketResult
2026-10-12Santa Cruz 2ClayJ. Aguilar Cardozo0 - 1 RET2.0854%WON
2026-10-09AntofagastaClayT. Seyboth Wild2 - 03.2770%LOST
2026-10-07AntofagastaClayN. Hardt0 - 21.4663%WON
2026-10-05AntofagastaClayJ. P. Varillas2 - 02.0553%WON
2026-09-30CuritibaClayG. Heide2 - 03.3572%LOST
2026-09-28CuritibaClayC. M. Zarate2 - 0——WON
2026-09-08GenovaClayH. Dellien2 - 02.9267%LOST
2026-09-02MallorcaHardA. Sanchez Quilez0 - 21.8752%LOST
2026-08-24US OpenHardD. Svrcina2 - 04.2578%LOST
2026-08-20Cancun 2HardM. Kouame0 - 22.0753%LOST

Common questions

Who is favourite, Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo or Felipe Meligeni Alves?

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is favourite at 1.78, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Felipe Meligeni Alves?

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo is 1.78 and Felipe Meligeni Alves is 2.08, the prices we recorded for the Santa Cruz 2 match.

Who will win Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Felipe Meligeni Alves?

Our model makes it Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo to win at 1.76 (Lean confidence).

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