Francisco Comesana v Nick Hardt
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONF. Comesana is 3-7 over the last ten and 12-12 on clay this season. N. Hardt is 4-6 over the last ten and 30-9 on clay this season. N. Hardt took a medical timeout on 2026-10-05. The head to head is F. Comesana 2-1.
The pick is F. Comesana to win. We make it a 75% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.34 or bigger. At 1.26 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| F. Comesana | N. Hardt | |
|---|---|---|
| 123 | Ranking | 275 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| LLWLL | Last 5 | LWWWL |
| -2.7 | V the odds | -1.9 |
| 17-25 | Season | 38-13 |
| 12-12 | Clay 2026 | 30-9 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 2 |
| 7d | Days rest | 5d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head 2-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-01 | San Marino Challenger Men | N. HardtvF. Comesana | 1 - 2 |
| 2023-10-02 | Campinas Challenger Men | F. ComesanavN. Hardt | 2 - 1 |
| 2022-05-03 | Salvador De Bahia | F. ComesanavN. Hardt | 0 - 2 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
F. Comesana — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | N. Hardt | 2 - 1 | 1.26 | 76% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | G. I. Justo | 2 - 1 | 1.44 | 66% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | J. Aguilar Cardozo | 1 - 2 | 1.38 | 69% | LOST |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | J. Estevez | 2 - 1 | 1.10 | 83% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open | Hard | F. Cobolli | 2 - 3 | 4.69 | 79% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Winston-Salem | Hard | D. Altmaier | 2 - 0 | 1.88 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-23 | Winston-Salem | Hard | Y. Wu | 2 - 0 | 2.49 | 61% | WON |
| 2026-08-19 | Cancun 2 | Hard | P. Llamas Ruiz | 2 - 0 | 1.91 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-08-12 | Cincinnati | Hard | K. Nishikori | 2 - 1 | 1.88 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-07-03 | Milan | Hard (Indoor) | D. Rincon | 1 - 2 | 1.31 | 74% | LOST |
N. Hardt — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | F. Comesana | 2 - 1 | 3.96 | 76% | LOST |
| 2026-10-07 | Antofagasta | Clay | F. Meligeni Alves | 0 - 2 | 2.51 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | G. Villanueva | 1 - 2 | 2.10 | 54% | WON |
| 2026-09-19 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | O. Kandil | 2 - 0 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | K. Mabrouk | 2 - 0 | 1.22 | 77% | WON |
| 2026-09-01 | Porto 2 | Clay | M. Cecchinato | 1 - 2 | 3.28 | 71% | LOST |
| 2026-08-25 | Augsburg | Clay | K. Wehnelt | 2 - 1 | 1.52 | 63% | LOST |
| 2026-08-19 | Prague | Clay | O. Krutykh | 2 - 0 | 2.01 | 52% | LOST |
| 2026-08-17 | Prague | Clay | J. Filip | 0 - 2 | 1.23 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-08-10 | Todi | Clay | M. Cecchinato | 2 - 0 | 2.75 | 66% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Francisco Comesana or Nick Hardt?
Francisco Comesana is favourite at 1.26, which is a 76% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt?
Francisco Comesana is 1.26 and Nick Hardt is 3.96, the prices we recorded for the Santa Cruz 2 match.
What is the head-to-head between Francisco Comesana and Nick Hardt?
They have met 3 times and Francisco Comesana leads 2-1.
Who will win Francisco Comesana vs Nick Hardt?
Our model makes it Francisco Comesana to win at 1.26 (Lean confidence).