Valerio Aboian v Franco Roncadelli
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTV. Aboian is 7-3 over the last ten and 36-24 on clay this season. F. Roncadelli is 4-6 over the last ten and 26-19 on clay this season. The head to head is V. Aboian 1-1.
The pick is V. Aboian to win. We make it a 41% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.43 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| V. Aboian | F. Roncadelli | |
|---|---|---|
| 347 | Ranking | 265 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 | 4-6 |
| LLWWW | Last 5 | LLLWW |
| +0.7 | V the odds | -1.2 |
| 38-27 | Season | 32-22 |
| 36-24 | Clay 2026 | 26-19 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 7d | Days rest | 7d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head 1-1 |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-04 | M25 Chacabuco | F. RoncadellivV. Aboian | 1 - 2 |
| 2022-11-04 | M15 Santa Cruz 2 | F. RoncadellivV. Aboian | 2 - 0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
No previous edition of this event found in the feed.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
V. Aboian — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | F. Roncadelli | 1 - 2 | 2.73 | 65% | LOST |
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | G. A. Olivieri | 2 - 0 | 2.46 | 61% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | J. C. Prado Angelo | 2 - 0 | 2.88 | 67% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | G. A. Olivieri | 1 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-21 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | M. F. Descotte | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-20 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | J. Cundom | 2 - 1 | 1.10 | 85% | WON |
| 2026-09-11 | Genova | Clay | P. Martinez | 2 - 0 | 5.00 | 81% | LOST |
| 2026-09-09 | Genova | Clay | A. Pellegrino | 2 - 0 | 5.37 | 82% | WON |
| 2026-09-08 | Genova | Clay | J. C. Martin Manzano | 2 - 1 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-07 | Genova | Clay | L. Rottoli | 2 - 1 | 1.54 | 62% | WON |
F. Roncadelli — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Santa Cruz 2 | Clay | V. Aboian | 1 - 2 | 1.48 | 65% | WON |
| 2026-10-05 | Antofagasta | Clay | T. Barrios Vera | 0 - 2 | 3.52 | 73% | LOST |
| 2026-09-28 | Curitiba | Clay | G. I. Justo | 2 - 0 | 2.06 | 53% | LOST |
| 2026-09-23 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | P. Boscardin Dias | 1 - 2 | 1.88 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-09-22 | Buenos Aires 3 | Clay | B. Fernandez | 0 - 2 | — | — | WON |
| 2026-09-18 | ATP Davis Cup - World Group II | - Preliminary | K. Tamm | 2 - 0 | 1.25 | 75% | WON |
| 2026-08-24 | US Open | Hard | E. Ymer | 0 - 2 | 5.03 | 81% | LOST |
| 2026-07-30 | Liberec | Clay | N. Gombos | 0 - 2 | 1.88 | 51% | LOST |
| 2026-07-28 | Liberec | Clay | J. Nicod | 2 - 0 | 2.20 | 56% | WON |
| 2026-07-23 | Tampere | Clay | H. Squire | 2 - 0 | 2.81 | 66% | LOST |
Common questions
Who is favourite, Valerio Aboian or Franco Roncadelli?
Franco Roncadelli is favourite at 1.48, which is a 65% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli?
Valerio Aboian is 2.73 and Franco Roncadelli is 1.48, the prices we recorded for the Santa Cruz 2 match.
What is the head-to-head between Valerio Aboian and Franco Roncadelli?
They have met 2 times and they are level at 1-1.
Who will win Valerio Aboian vs Franco Roncadelli?
Our model makes it Valerio Aboian to win at 2.73 (Solid confidence).